Incumbent Rep. Blake Moore holds a commanding lead in the Utah 2nd Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for June 23, reflecting strong trader consensus around his established fundraising edge, recent polling margins exceeding 30 points, and signature-gathering success that secured ballot access after the state convention. The race centers on the newly drawn northern Utah district, with key issues including data centers, energy policy, cost of living, and Great Salt Lake management emerging in the June debate against state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee. Moore’s position as the sitting representative and access to party infrastructure have anchored support, though Lisonbee’s convention performance highlights potential activist mobilization. A late surge in challenger turnout or unexpected primary-day developments could narrow the gap, but structural advantages favor Moore absent major disruptions.