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Política·Cámara De Representantes

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

icon for Speaker of the House after the midterms?
Política·Cámara De Representantes

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries 82%

Pete Aguilar 26.1%

Mike Johnson 18.1%

Steve Scalise 13.6%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Hakeem Jeffries 82%

Pete Aguilar 26.1%

Mike Johnson 18.1%

Steve Scalise 13.6%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$1,165 Vol.

82%

icon for Katherine Clark

Katherine Clark

$55 Vol.

8%

icon for Pete Aguilar

Pete Aguilar

$65 Vol.

26%

icon for Jim Jordan

Jim Jordan

$88 Vol.

7%

icon for Steve Scalise

Steve Scalise

$55 Vol.

14%

icon for Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson

$65 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Hakeem Jeffries at 80.5% to become Speaker after the 2026 midterms, reflecting an 84% implied probability of Democrats flipping House control in the related Polymarket, fueled by a sustained generic ballot lead averaging Democrats +5.7 in the RealClearPolling average through late April polls like Reuters/Ipsos and Economist/YouGov. As current House Minority Leader, Jeffries is positioned as the presumptive Democratic nominee absent internal challenges. Current Speaker Mike Johnson trails at 16.4%, with Majority Leader Steve Scalise (13.6%) and Freedom Caucus Chair Jim Jordan (6.8%) as GOP alternatives if Republicans hold their narrow majority, while Democratic Caucus Chair Pete Aguilar (15.4%) and Whip Katherine Clark (6.0%) linger as backups. No recent leadership shakeups, but historical midterm losses for the president's party underpin the Democratic edge ahead of November voting.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,492
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Hakeem Jeffries at 80.5% to become Speaker after the 2026 midterms, reflecting an 84% implied probability of Democrats flipping House control in the related Polymarket, fueled by a sustained generic ballot lead averaging Democrats +5.7 in the RealClearPolling average through late April polls like Reuters/Ipsos and Economist/YouGov. As current House Minority Leader, Jeffries is positioned as the presumptive Democratic nominee absent internal challenges. Current Speaker Mike Johnson trails at 16.4%, with Majority Leader Steve Scalise (13.6%) and Freedom Caucus Chair Jim Jordan (6.8%) as GOP alternatives if Republicans hold their narrow majority, while Democratic Caucus Chair Pete Aguilar (15.4%) and Whip Katherine Clark (6.0%) linger as backups. No recent leadership shakeups, but historical midterm losses for the president's party underpin the Democratic edge ahead of November voting.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,492
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Speaker of the House after the midterms?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Hakeem Jeffries" con 82%, seguido de "Pete Aguilar" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 82¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 82% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Speaker of the House after the midterms?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 8, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Speaker of the House after the midterms?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" es "Hakeem Jeffries" con 82%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 82% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Pete Aguilar" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.