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Política·Gana Un 4%

¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?

icon for ¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?
Política·Gana Un 4%

¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?

jun 30

dic 31

ene 20, 2029

jun 30

dic 31

ene 20, 2029

Sí

67% probabilidad
Polymarket

$60,700 Vol.

Sí

67% probabilidad
Polymarket

$60,700 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent U.S.-Iran hostilities, including President Trump's threats and military actions exceeding the War Powers Resolution's 60-day limit, prompted House Democrats to file multiple impeachment articles in early April 2026, such as H.Res.1155 by Rep. John Larson. Sen. Susan Collins highlighted congressional oversight needs on April 30, underscoring bipartisan concerns over unauthorized escalation. With Republicans holding a slim House majority (219-212 as of early 2026), these resolutions remain stalled in Judiciary Committee, but traders' 67% "Yes" consensus reflects expectations of a Democratic House flip in the November 2026 midterms—aligning with historical patterns of the president's party losing seats—potentially enabling impeachment articles passage before Trump's January 2029 term end, even if Senate conviction odds stay low.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$60,700
Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2029
Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent U.S.-Iran hostilities, including President Trump's threats and military actions exceeding the War Powers Resolution's 60-day limit, prompted House Democrats to file multiple impeachment articles in early April 2026, such as H.Res.1155 by Rep. John Larson. Sen. Susan Collins highlighted congressional oversight needs on April 30, underscoring bipartisan concerns over unauthorized escalation. With Republicans holding a slim House majority (219-212 as of early 2026), these resolutions remain stalled in Judiciary Committee, but traders' 67% "Yes" consensus reflects expectations of a Democratic House flip in the November 2026 midterms—aligning with historical patterns of the president's party losing seats—potentially enabling impeachment articles passage before Trump's January 2029 term end, even if Senate conviction odds stay low.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$60,700
Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2029
Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Será destituido Trump antes de que termine su mandato?" con 67%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 67¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 67% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?" ha generado $60.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 19, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?" es "¿Será destituido Trump antes de que termine su mandato?" con 67%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 67% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.