Republican control of the 119th Congress—with a House majority of 217-212 and Senate edge of 53-47—blocks any realistic path to impeaching President Trump by June 30, as GOP leadership refuses to schedule floor votes on Democratic articles like H.Res.939 filed in April over Iran war powers claims. Those efforts stalled without committee progress or hearings, and Democratic leaders shut down further talk by mid-April amid slim timelines and party-line resistance mirroring Trump's prior impeachments. With no developments in the past 30 days and midterms six months away, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus on "No." Only a seismic scandal triggering GOP defections or abrupt leadership shifts could alter odds, though historical base rates suggest barriers remain high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$319,491 Vol.
$319,491 Vol.
Sí
$319,491 Vol.
$319,491 Vol.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the 119th Congress—with a House majority of 217-212 and Senate edge of 53-47—blocks any realistic path to impeaching President Trump by June 30, as GOP leadership refuses to schedule floor votes on Democratic articles like H.Res.939 filed in April over Iran war powers claims. Those efforts stalled without committee progress or hearings, and Democratic leaders shut down further talk by mid-April amid slim timelines and party-line resistance mirroring Trump's prior impeachments. With no developments in the past 30 days and midterms six months away, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus on "No." Only a seismic scandal triggering GOP defections or abrupt leadership shifts could alter odds, though historical base rates suggest barriers remain high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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