Trader consensus reflects an 87% implied probability of a Democratic blue wave in the 2026 midterms, fueled by generic ballot polling averages showing Democrats ahead by 2–6 points in recent surveys like YouGov/Economist and CNN, alongside upset wins in special elections and local races in conservative districts from Georgia to Wisconsin. President Trump's sagging approval ratings—echoing 2006 and 2018 patterns—stem from high gas prices, executive actions, and post-Iran war uncertainties, compounded by a wave of Republican House retirements signaling institutional frustration. Democrats have flipped dozens of state legislative seats since early 2026, building momentum despite GOP Senate map advantages; upcoming primaries and November 3 voting could shift dynamics if economic conditions improve or turnout surges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$39,603 Vol.
$39,603 Vol.
30 nov 2026
Sí
$39,603 Vol.
$39,603 Vol.
30 nov 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfTrader consensus reflects an 87% implied probability of a Democratic blue wave in the 2026 midterms, fueled by generic ballot polling averages showing Democrats ahead by 2–6 points in recent surveys like YouGov/Economist and CNN, alongside upset wins in special elections and local races in conservative districts from Georgia to Wisconsin. President Trump's sagging approval ratings—echoing 2006 and 2018 patterns—stem from high gas prices, executive actions, and post-Iran war uncertainties, compounded by a wave of Republican House retirements signaling institutional frustration. Democrats have flipped dozens of state legislative seats since early 2026, building momentum despite GOP Senate map advantages; upcoming primaries and November 3 voting could shift dynamics if economic conditions improve or turnout surges.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Mercado abierto: Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Volumen
$39,603Fecha de finalización
30 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfTrader consensus reflects an 87% implied probability of a Democratic blue wave in the 2026 midterms, fueled by generic ballot polling averages showing Democrats ahead by 2–6 points in recent surveys like YouGov/Economist and CNN, alongside upset wins in special elections and local races in conservative districts from Georgia to Wisconsin. President Trump's sagging approval ratings—echoing 2006 and 2018 patterns—stem from high gas prices, executive actions, and post-Iran war uncertainties, compounded by a wave of Republican House retirements signaling institutional frustration. Democrats have flipped dozens of state legislative seats since early 2026, building momentum despite GOP Senate map advantages; upcoming primaries and November 3 voting could shift dynamics if economic conditions improve or turnout surges.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Volumen
$39,603Fecha de finalización
30 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects an 87% implied probability of a Democratic blue wave in the 2026 midterms, fueled by generic ballot polling averages showing Democrats ahead by 2–6 points in recent surveys like YouGov/Economist and CNN, alongside upset wins in special elections and local races in conservative districts from Georgia to Wisconsin. President Trump's sagging approval ratings—echoing 2006 and 2018 patterns—stem from high gas prices, executive actions, and post-Iran war uncertainties, compounded by a wave of Republican House retirements signaling institutional frustration. Democrats have flipped dozens of state legislative seats since early 2026, building momentum despite GOP Senate map advantages; upcoming primaries and November 3 voting could shift dynamics if economic conditions improve or turnout surges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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