Recent federal legislative efforts, including the March 2026 bipartisan Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act from Senators Curtis and Schiff and related Democratic proposals, sought to restrict CFTC-regulated platforms from offering sports event contracts resembling traditional gambling. However, these measures have not advanced to enactment. In contrast, the CFTC's June 2026 proposed rules under the Trump administration establish a federal framework that explicitly permits most sports-related prediction markets while targeting only those prone to manipulation, reinforcing exclusive federal oversight over state gaming authorities. State actions, such as Minnesota's May 2026 ban, highlight ongoing jurisdictional tensions but do not alter the federal trajectory. With no major votes or overrides scheduled before year-end and trader pricing reflecting these regulatory developments, the consensus against a nationwide banning statute in 2026 remains firm.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La ley que prohíbe los mercados de predicción deportiva promulgada en 2026?
¿La ley que prohíbe los mercados de predicción deportiva promulgada en 2026?
Sí
$16,163 Vol.
$16,163 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$16,163 Vol.
$16,163 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent federal legislative efforts, including the March 2026 bipartisan Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act from Senators Curtis and Schiff and related Democratic proposals, sought to restrict CFTC-regulated platforms from offering sports event contracts resembling traditional gambling. However, these measures have not advanced to enactment. In contrast, the CFTC's June 2026 proposed rules under the Trump administration establish a federal framework that explicitly permits most sports-related prediction markets while targeting only those prone to manipulation, reinforcing exclusive federal oversight over state gaming authorities. State actions, such as Minnesota's May 2026 ban, highlight ongoing jurisdictional tensions but do not alter the federal trajectory. With no major votes or overrides scheduled before year-end and trader pricing reflecting these regulatory developments, the consensus against a nationwide banning statute in 2026 remains firm.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volumen
$16,163Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent federal legislative efforts, including the March 2026 bipartisan Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act from Senators Curtis and Schiff and related Democratic proposals, sought to restrict CFTC-regulated platforms from offering sports event contracts resembling traditional gambling. However, these measures have not advanced to enactment. In contrast, the CFTC's June 2026 proposed rules under the Trump administration establish a federal framework that explicitly permits most sports-related prediction markets while targeting only those prone to manipulation, reinforcing exclusive federal oversight over state gaming authorities. State actions, such as Minnesota's May 2026 ban, highlight ongoing jurisdictional tensions but do not alter the federal trajectory. With no major votes or overrides scheduled before year-end and trader pricing reflecting these regulatory developments, the consensus against a nationwide banning statute in 2026 remains firm.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$16,163Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent federal legislative efforts, including the March 2026 bipartisan Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act from Senators Curtis and Schiff and related Democratic proposals, sought to restrict CFTC-regulated platforms from offering sports event contracts resembling traditional gambling. However, these measures have not advanced to enactment. In contrast, the CFTC's June 2026 proposed rules under the Trump administration establish a federal framework that explicitly permits most sports-related prediction markets while targeting only those prone to manipulation, reinforcing exclusive federal oversight over state gaming authorities. State actions, such as Minnesota's May 2026 ban, highlight ongoing jurisdictional tensions but do not alter the federal trajectory. With no major votes or overrides scheduled before year-end and trader pricing reflecting these regulatory developments, the consensus against a nationwide banning statute in 2026 remains firm.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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