PT leads trader expectations for second place in Mexico's June 2027 legislative election due to its position in the ruling coalition with Morena and PVEM, which delivered a strong performance in 2024 and continues to benefit from President Sheinbaum's high approval. Opposition parties PRI and PVEM trail closely as fragmented challengers seek to consolidate support ahead of the vote for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Recent coordination among Morena allies and tentative opposition unity talks have kept probabilities tight, with no single development creating clear separation. Traders price in the structural advantages of the governing bloc alongside the uncertainty of how opposition coalitions might consolidate or fracture before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PVEM 83%
PT 51%
PRI 42%
MC 35%

PAN
-

PRI
42%

PT
51%

PVEM
83%

MC
35%

Morena
2%
PVEM 83%
PT 51%
PRI 42%
MC 35%

PAN
-

PRI
42%

PT
51%

PVEM
83%

MC
35%

Morena
2%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Mercado abierto: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...PT leads trader expectations for second place in Mexico's June 2027 legislative election due to its position in the ruling coalition with Morena and PVEM, which delivered a strong performance in 2024 and continues to benefit from President Sheinbaum's high approval. Opposition parties PRI and PVEM trail closely as fragmented challengers seek to consolidate support ahead of the vote for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats. Recent coordination among Morena allies and tentative opposition unity talks have kept probabilities tight, with no single development creating clear separation. Traders price in the structural advantages of the governing bloc alongside the uncertainty of how opposition coalitions might consolidate or fracture before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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