**Democratic House retirements for the 2026 midterms have already reached 22–24 members as of mid-June, driven primarily by long-serving incumbents opting out amid generational turnover and a historically elevated overall departure rate.** Prominent examples include Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Jan Schakowsky, Nydia Velázquez, Jerry Nadler, Lloyd Doggett, Bonnie Watson Coleman, and Dwight Evans, alongside several others shifting to Senate or gubernatorial bids. This pace exceeds many prior cycles and reflects factors such as age-related decisions, redistricting impacts in states like Texas, and broader institutional pressures. With filing deadlines still ahead in multiple states and additional announcements possible through the summer, traders see meaningful room for the total to climb into the low-to-mid 30s or higher, while uncertainty around further exits keeps the leading ranges (32–35 and 40+) tightly contested against lower bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado24–27 23%
28–31 10%
36–39 4.7%
<20 3.8%
$33,702 Vol.
$33,702 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<20
22%
20–23
29%
24–27
23%
28–31
16%
32–35
34%
36–39
5%
40 o más
30%
24–27 23%
28–31 10%
36–39 4.7%
<20 3.8%
$33,702 Vol.
$33,702 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<20
$17,178 Vol.
22%
20–23
$5,494 Vol.
29%
24–27
$4,265 Vol.
23%
28–31
$1,214 Vol.
16%
32–35
$3,797 Vol.
34%
36–39
$816 Vol.
5%
40 o más
$938 Vol.
30%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Democratic House retirements for the 2026 midterms have already reached 22–24 members as of mid-June, driven primarily by long-serving incumbents opting out amid generational turnover and a historically elevated overall departure rate.**
Prominent examples include Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Jan Schakowsky, Nydia Velázquez, Jerry Nadler, Lloyd Doggett, Bonnie Watson Coleman, and Dwight Evans, alongside several others shifting to Senate or gubernatorial bids. This pace exceeds many prior cycles and reflects factors such as age-related decisions, redistricting impacts in states like Texas, and broader institutional pressures. With filing deadlines still ahead in multiple states and additional announcements possible through the summer, traders see meaningful room for the total to climb into the low-to-mid 30s or higher, while uncertainty around further exits keeps the leading ranges (32–35 and 40+) tightly contested against lower bins.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Volumen
$33,702Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Democratic House retirements for the 2026 midterms have already reached 22–24 members as of mid-June, driven primarily by long-serving incumbents opting out amid generational turnover and a historically elevated overall departure rate.**
Prominent examples include Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Jan Schakowsky, Nydia Velázquez, Jerry Nadler, Lloyd Doggett, Bonnie Watson Coleman, and Dwight Evans, alongside several others shifting to Senate or gubernatorial bids. This pace exceeds many prior cycles and reflects factors such as age-related decisions, redistricting impacts in states like Texas, and broader institutional pressures. With filing deadlines still ahead in multiple states and additional announcements possible through the summer, traders see meaningful room for the total to climb into the low-to-mid 30s or higher, while uncertainty around further exits keeps the leading ranges (32–35 and 40+) tightly contested against lower bins.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$33,702Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Democratic House retirements for the 2026 midterms have already reached 22–24 members as of mid-June, driven primarily by long-serving incumbents opting out amid generational turnover and a historically elevated overall departure rate.** Prominent examples include Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Jan Schakowsky, Nydia Velázquez, Jerry Nadler, Lloyd Doggett, Bonnie Watson Coleman, and Dwight Evans, alongside several others shifting to Senate or gubernatorial bids. This pace exceeds many prior cycles and reflects factors such as age-related decisions, redistricting impacts in states like Texas, and broader institutional pressures. With filing deadlines still ahead in multiple states and additional announcements possible through the summer, traders see meaningful room for the total to climb into the low-to-mid 30s or higher, while uncertainty around further exits keeps the leading ranges (32–35 and 40+) tightly contested against lower bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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