Recent polls, including EVN Report's April data and Gallup/MPG surveys, show Civil Contract leading voter intentions at 26-34% with 30-37% undecideds disproportionately leaning incumbent, bolstering trader consensus on its commanding 94.5% implied probability to secure the most seats as the parliamentary election winner under proportional representation. Opposition remains fragmented—Strong Armenia at 11-14%, Armenia Alliance below the 7% alliance threshold at 4-8%, Prosperous Armenia at 3-8%—preventing any challenger from overtaking despite anti-Pashinyan sentiment. Improved public perceptions of security and economy from U.S. Vice President Vance's visit and pension hikes further solidify its position ahead of June 7 voting. Late-breaking scandals, opposition unification, or depressed turnout could still shift dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoContrato Civil 95%
Alianza Armenia 3.4%
Orinats Yerkir <1%
Prosperará Armenia <1%
$113,368 Vol.
$113,368 Vol.
7 jun 2026
Contrato Civil
95%
Alianza Armenia
3%
Orinats Yerkir
1%
Prosperará Armenia
<1%
Partido Hanrapetutyun
<1%
Congreso Nacional Armenio
<1%
Armenia Brillante
<1%
Heritage
<1%
Alianza Tengo Honor
<1%
Contrato Civil 95%
Alianza Armenia 3.4%
Orinats Yerkir <1%
Prosperará Armenia <1%
$113,368 Vol.
$113,368 Vol.
7 jun 2026
Contrato Civil
$44,877 Vol.
95%
Alianza Armenia
$50,991 Vol.
3%
Orinats Yerkir
$2,669 Vol.
1%
Prosperará Armenia
$2,375 Vol.
<1%
Partido Hanrapetutyun
$2,196 Vol.
<1%
Congreso Nacional Armenio
$2,663 Vol.
<1%
Armenia Brillante
$2,960 Vol.
<1%
Heritage
$2,576 Vol.
<1%
Alianza Tengo Honor
$2,061 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Recent polls, including EVN Report's April data and Gallup/MPG surveys, show Civil Contract leading voter intentions at 26-34% with 30-37% undecideds disproportionately leaning incumbent, bolstering trader consensus on its commanding 94.5% implied probability to secure the most seats as the parliamentary election winner under proportional representation. Opposition remains fragmented—Strong Armenia at 11-14%, Armenia Alliance below the 7% alliance threshold at 4-8%, Prosperous Armenia at 3-8%—preventing any challenger from overtaking despite anti-Pashinyan sentiment. Improved public perceptions of security and economy from U.S. Vice President Vance's visit and pension hikes further solidify its position ahead of June 7 voting. Late-breaking scandals, opposition unification, or depressed turnout could still shift dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Volumen
$113,368Fecha de finalización
7 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Recent polls, including EVN Report's April data and Gallup/MPG surveys, show Civil Contract leading voter intentions at 26-34% with 30-37% undecideds disproportionately leaning incumbent, bolstering trader consensus on its commanding 94.5% implied probability to secure the most seats as the parliamentary election winner under proportional representation. Opposition remains fragmented—Strong Armenia at 11-14%, Armenia Alliance below the 7% alliance threshold at 4-8%, Prosperous Armenia at 3-8%—preventing any challenger from overtaking despite anti-Pashinyan sentiment. Improved public perceptions of security and economy from U.S. Vice President Vance's visit and pension hikes further solidify its position ahead of June 7 voting. Late-breaking scandals, opposition unification, or depressed turnout could still shift dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volumen
$113,368Fecha de finalización
7 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including EVN Report's April data and Gallup/MPG surveys, show Civil Contract leading voter intentions at 26-34% with 30-37% undecideds disproportionately leaning incumbent, bolstering trader consensus on its commanding 94.5% implied probability to secure the most seats as the parliamentary election winner under proportional representation. Opposition remains fragmented—Strong Armenia at 11-14%, Armenia Alliance below the 7% alliance threshold at 4-8%, Prosperous Armenia at 3-8%—preventing any challenger from overtaking despite anti-Pashinyan sentiment. Improved public perceptions of security and economy from U.S. Vice President Vance's visit and pension hikes further solidify its position ahead of June 7 voting. Late-breaking scandals, opposition unification, or depressed turnout could still shift dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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