**Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following his February 19, 2026, conviction on insurrection charges tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, for which a Seoul court imposed a life sentence.** He is serving this term at the Seoul Detention Center while appeals proceed and separate trials on related counts, including obstruction of justice and abuse of authority, continue. Earlier temporary release in March 2025 was followed by rearrest in July 2025 on evidence concerns, and no subsequent court actions or political developments have altered his detained status as of mid-2026. Traders assign an 88.9% probability to "No" on release before 2027, reflecting the severity of the sentence, standard appellate timelines in South Korea's judicial system, and the absence of credible pathways such as executive clemency or successful overturn that would enable earlier freedom.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
$53,984 Vol.
$53,984 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$53,984 Vol.
$53,984 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following his February 19, 2026, conviction on insurrection charges tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, for which a Seoul court imposed a life sentence.** He is serving this term at the Seoul Detention Center while appeals proceed and separate trials on related counts, including obstruction of justice and abuse of authority, continue. Earlier temporary release in March 2025 was followed by rearrest in July 2025 on evidence concerns, and no subsequent court actions or political developments have altered his detained status as of mid-2026. Traders assign an 88.9% probability to "No" on release before 2027, reflecting the severity of the sentence, standard appellate timelines in South Korea's judicial system, and the absence of credible pathways such as executive clemency or successful overturn that would enable earlier freedom.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$53,984End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following his February 19, 2026, conviction on insurrection charges tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, for which a Seoul court imposed a life sentence.** He is serving this term at the Seoul Detention Center while appeals proceed and separate trials on related counts, including obstruction of justice and abuse of authority, continue. Earlier temporary release in March 2025 was followed by rearrest in July 2025 on evidence concerns, and no subsequent court actions or political developments have altered his detained status as of mid-2026. Traders assign an 88.9% probability to "No" on release before 2027, reflecting the severity of the sentence, standard appellate timelines in South Korea's judicial system, and the absence of credible pathways such as executive clemency or successful overturn that would enable earlier freedom.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,984End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following his February 19, 2026, conviction on insurrection charges tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, for which a Seoul court imposed a life sentence.** He is serving this term at the Seoul Detention Center while appeals proceed and separate trials on related counts, including obstruction of justice and abuse of authority, continue. Earlier temporary release in March 2025 was followed by rearrest in July 2025 on evidence concerns, and no subsequent court actions or political developments have altered his detained status as of mid-2026. Traders assign an 88.9% probability to "No" on release before 2027, reflecting the severity of the sentence, standard appellate timelines in South Korea's judicial system, and the absence of credible pathways such as executive clemency or successful overturn that would enable earlier freedom.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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