South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection over the 2024 martial law declaration. Multiple additional trials continue on related charges, with appeals processes underway that historically extend detention periods in major political cases. A January 2026 court order extended his detention warrant by six months, and no procedural developments or bail rulings have altered his status as of mid-June 2026. Traders assign an 88.9% implied probability to “No” on release before 2027, reflecting the extended timeline typical of Supreme Court review and parallel proceedings rather than any expectation of swift reversal or executive intervention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Yoon fuera de custodia antes de 2027?
Sí
$53,984 Vol.
$53,984 Vol.
Sí
$53,984 Vol.
$53,984 Vol.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection over the 2024 martial law declaration. Multiple additional trials continue on related charges, with appeals processes underway that historically extend detention periods in major political cases. A January 2026 court order extended his detention warrant by six months, and no procedural developments or bail rulings have altered his status as of mid-June 2026. Traders assign an 88.9% implied probability to “No” on release before 2027, reflecting the extended timeline typical of Supreme Court review and parallel proceedings rather than any expectation of swift reversal or executive intervention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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