A South Korean appeals court on April 29 increased former President Yoon Suk Yeol's prison sentence to seven years for resisting arrest and obstructing public duties tied to his 2024 martial law declaration, solidifying trader consensus at 91.5% for "No" on release before 2027. This follows a February life sentence for leading an insurrection, with Yoon remaining in custody since his January 2025 arrest after impeachment and Constitutional Court removal in April 2025. Multiple convictions across ongoing trials, including abuse of authority, create significant legal barriers to bail or pardon, despite potential Supreme Court appeals; no recent developments signal imminent release amid prosecutorial pushes for maximum penalties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A South Korean appeals court on April 29 increased former President Yoon Suk Yeol's prison sentence to seven years for resisting arrest and obstructing public duties tied to his 2024 martial law declaration, solidifying trader consensus at 91.5% for "No" on release before 2027. This follows a February life sentence for leading an insurrection, with Yoon remaining in custody since his January 2025 arrest after impeachment and Constitutional Court removal in April 2025. Multiple convictions across ongoing trials, including abuse of authority, create significant legal barriers to bail or pardon, despite potential Supreme Court appeals; no recent developments signal imminent release amid prosecutorial pushes for maximum penalties.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$7,003End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A South Korean appeals court on April 29 increased former President Yoon Suk Yeol's prison sentence to seven years for resisting arrest and obstructing public duties tied to his 2024 martial law declaration, solidifying trader consensus at 91.5% for "No" on release before 2027. This follows a February life sentence for leading an insurrection, with Yoon remaining in custody since his January 2025 arrest after impeachment and Constitutional Court removal in April 2025. Multiple convictions across ongoing trials, including abuse of authority, create significant legal barriers to bail or pardon, despite potential Supreme Court appeals; no recent developments signal imminent release amid prosecutorial pushes for maximum penalties.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,003End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A South Korean appeals court on April 29 increased former President Yoon Suk Yeol's prison sentence to seven years for resisting arrest and obstructing public duties tied to his 2024 martial law declaration, solidifying trader consensus at 91.5% for "No" on release before 2027. This follows a February life sentence for leading an insurrection, with Yoon remaining in custody since his January 2025 arrest after impeachment and Constitutional Court removal in April 2025. Multiple convictions across ongoing trials, including abuse of authority, create significant legal barriers to bail or pardon, despite potential Supreme Court appeals; no recent developments signal imminent release amid prosecutorial pushes for maximum penalties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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