Olivia Chow's position as incumbent mayor, reinforced by her formal re-election announcement in late May 2026, anchors the market's heavy weighting toward her candidacy ahead of the October 26 vote. Recent polling, including a mid-May Liaison Strategies survey showing her at 50% against Brad Bradford's 37%, has sustained this edge, reflecting consistent support in key demographics and downtown areas despite Bradford's emphasis on affordability and change as the primary challenger. Other declared candidates remain marginal, with no significant late surges or withdrawals altering the field. Traders' consensus pricing aligns with these structural and survey trends while noting the race's distance from election day could allow shifts from economic conditions or turnout patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOlivia Chow 82%
Brad Bradford 18%
John Tory <1%
Ana Bailão <1%
$67,011 Vol.
$67,011 Vol.
Olivia Chow
82%
Brad Bradford
18%
John Tory
<1%
Ana Bailão
<1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Kevin Clarke
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
Marco Mendicino
<1%
Olivia Chow 82%
Brad Bradford 18%
John Tory <1%
Ana Bailão <1%
$67,011 Vol.
$67,011 Vol.
Olivia Chow
82%
Brad Bradford
18%
John Tory
<1%
Ana Bailão
<1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Kevin Clarke
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
Marco Mendicino
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Olivia Chow's position as incumbent mayor, reinforced by her formal re-election announcement in late May 2026, anchors the market's heavy weighting toward her candidacy ahead of the October 26 vote. Recent polling, including a mid-May Liaison Strategies survey showing her at 50% against Brad Bradford's 37%, has sustained this edge, reflecting consistent support in key demographics and downtown areas despite Bradford's emphasis on affordability and change as the primary challenger. Other declared candidates remain marginal, with no significant late surges or withdrawals altering the field. Traders' consensus pricing aligns with these structural and survey trends while noting the race's distance from election day could allow shifts from economic conditions or turnout patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes