**The current 94% implied probability on “No” for charges against former FBI Director James Comey being dropped by July 31, 2026, reflects the procedural posture of the active federal case in the Eastern District of North Carolina.** A grand jury indicted Comey in April 2026 on two counts related to a May 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47,” which prosecutors allege constitutes a threat against President Trump under 18 U.S.C. §§ 871 and 875. The court set an initial trial date in July before granting a defense request to move proceedings to October 21, 2026; arraignment is scheduled for June 30. Comey’s counsel have signaled forthcoming motions to dismiss on grounds including selective or vindictive prosecution, while an earlier Virginia indictment was dismissed without prejudice in November 2025 and remains under appeal. With arraignment and briefing deadlines still ahead and no dispositive rulings or prosecutorial withdrawals reported in recent weeks, traders assess little chance of dismissal within the narrow window before the end of July.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
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Jul 31, 2026
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Jul 31, 2026
Former FBI director James Comey was indicted on April 28 (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/04/28/politics/justice-department-indicts-ex-fbi-director-james-comey-again).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all charges against James Comey stemming from this indictment are officially dropped, dismissed, withdrawn, or reduced to a non-felony charge by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the department of Justice, any relevant court, or an official statement from Comey or his legal representatives. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The current 94% implied probability on “No” for charges against former FBI Director James Comey being dropped by July 31, 2026, reflects the procedural posture of the active federal case in the Eastern District of North Carolina.**
A grand jury indicted Comey in April 2026 on two counts related to a May 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47,” which prosecutors allege constitutes a threat against President Trump under 18 U.S.C. §§ 871 and 875. The court set an initial trial date in July before granting a defense request to move proceedings to October 21, 2026; arraignment is scheduled for June 30. Comey’s counsel have signaled forthcoming motions to dismiss on grounds including selective or vindictive prosecution, while an earlier Virginia indictment was dismissed without prejudice in November 2025 and remains under appeal.
With arraignment and briefing deadlines still ahead and no dispositive rulings or prosecutorial withdrawals reported in recent weeks, traders assess little chance of dismissal within the narrow window before the end of July.
Former FBI director James Comey was indicted on April 28 (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/04/28/politics/justice-department-indicts-ex-fbi-director-james-comey-again).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all charges against James Comey stemming from this indictment are officially dropped, dismissed, withdrawn, or reduced to a non-felony charge by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the department of Justice, any relevant court, or an official statement from Comey or his legal representatives. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all charges against James Comey stemming from this indictment are officially dropped, dismissed, withdrawn, or reduced to a non-felony charge by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the department of Justice, any relevant court, or an official statement from Comey or his legal representatives. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Volume
$1,867End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former FBI director James Comey was indicted on April 28 (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/04/28/politics/justice-department-indicts-ex-fbi-director-james-comey-again).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all charges against James Comey stemming from this indictment are officially dropped, dismissed, withdrawn, or reduced to a non-felony charge by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the department of Justice, any relevant court, or an official statement from Comey or his legal representatives. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The current 94% implied probability on “No” for charges against former FBI Director James Comey being dropped by July 31, 2026, reflects the procedural posture of the active federal case in the Eastern District of North Carolina.**
A grand jury indicted Comey in April 2026 on two counts related to a May 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47,” which prosecutors allege constitutes a threat against President Trump under 18 U.S.C. §§ 871 and 875. The court set an initial trial date in July before granting a defense request to move proceedings to October 21, 2026; arraignment is scheduled for June 30. Comey’s counsel have signaled forthcoming motions to dismiss on grounds including selective or vindictive prosecution, while an earlier Virginia indictment was dismissed without prejudice in November 2025 and remains under appeal.
With arraignment and briefing deadlines still ahead and no dispositive rulings or prosecutorial withdrawals reported in recent weeks, traders assess little chance of dismissal within the narrow window before the end of July.
Former FBI director James Comey was indicted on April 28 (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/04/28/politics/justice-department-indicts-ex-fbi-director-james-comey-again).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all charges against James Comey stemming from this indictment are officially dropped, dismissed, withdrawn, or reduced to a non-felony charge by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the department of Justice, any relevant court, or an official statement from Comey or his legal representatives. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all charges against James Comey stemming from this indictment are officially dropped, dismissed, withdrawn, or reduced to a non-felony charge by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the department of Justice, any relevant court, or an official statement from Comey or his legal representatives. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,867End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The current 94% implied probability on “No” for charges against former FBI Director James Comey being dropped by July 31, 2026, reflects the procedural posture of the active federal case in the Eastern District of North Carolina.** A grand jury indicted Comey in April 2026 on two counts related to a May 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47,” which prosecutors allege constitutes a threat against President Trump under 18 U.S.C. §§ 871 and 875. The court set an initial trial date in July before granting a defense request to move proceedings to October 21, 2026; arraignment is scheduled for June 30. Comey’s counsel have signaled forthcoming motions to dismiss on grounds including selective or vindictive prosecution, while an earlier Virginia indictment was dismissed without prejudice in November 2025 and remains under appeal. With arraignment and briefing deadlines still ahead and no dispositive rulings or prosecutorial withdrawals reported in recent weeks, traders assess little chance of dismissal within the narrow window before the end of July.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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