**Recent indictments against former FBI Director James Comey have not produced convictions or sentencings likely to occur before December 31, 2026.** An earlier September 2025 indictment on false-statement and obstruction counts tied to 2020 congressional testimony was dismissed without prejudice in November 2025 after a federal judge ruled the lead prosecutor’s appointment unlawful. A new April 2026 indictment in the Eastern District of North Carolina charges Comey with two felonies—threatening the president and transmitting a threat in interstate commerce—stemming from a May 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47.” The case carries a maximum ten-year penalty but faces an October 21, 2026 trial date after defense-requested delays, plus anticipated motions to dismiss on First Amendment “true threat” grounds under Supreme Court precedent. Comey has maintained his innocence and was released on his own recognizance. Any conviction would require post-trial proceedings and appeals before sentencing, making a prison sentence within the 2026 calendar year highly improbable under standard federal timelines. Traders price the low probability of resolution by year-end accordingly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$151,932 Vol.
$151,932 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$151,932 Vol.
$151,932 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent indictments against former FBI Director James Comey have not produced convictions or sentencings likely to occur before December 31, 2026.** An earlier September 2025 indictment on false-statement and obstruction counts tied to 2020 congressional testimony was dismissed without prejudice in November 2025 after a federal judge ruled the lead prosecutor’s appointment unlawful. A new April 2026 indictment in the Eastern District of North Carolina charges Comey with two felonies—threatening the president and transmitting a threat in interstate commerce—stemming from a May 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47.”
The case carries a maximum ten-year penalty but faces an October 21, 2026 trial date after defense-requested delays, plus anticipated motions to dismiss on First Amendment “true threat” grounds under Supreme Court precedent. Comey has maintained his innocence and was released on his own recognizance. Any conviction would require post-trial proceedings and appeals before sentencing, making a prison sentence within the 2026 calendar year highly improbable under standard federal timelines. Traders price the low probability of resolution by year-end accordingly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Volume
$151,932End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent indictments against former FBI Director James Comey have not produced convictions or sentencings likely to occur before December 31, 2026.** An earlier September 2025 indictment on false-statement and obstruction counts tied to 2020 congressional testimony was dismissed without prejudice in November 2025 after a federal judge ruled the lead prosecutor’s appointment unlawful. A new April 2026 indictment in the Eastern District of North Carolina charges Comey with two felonies—threatening the president and transmitting a threat in interstate commerce—stemming from a May 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47.”
The case carries a maximum ten-year penalty but faces an October 21, 2026 trial date after defense-requested delays, plus anticipated motions to dismiss on First Amendment “true threat” grounds under Supreme Court precedent. Comey has maintained his innocence and was released on his own recognizance. Any conviction would require post-trial proceedings and appeals before sentencing, making a prison sentence within the 2026 calendar year highly improbable under standard federal timelines. Traders price the low probability of resolution by year-end accordingly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$151,932End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent indictments against former FBI Director James Comey have not produced convictions or sentencings likely to occur before December 31, 2026.** An earlier September 2025 indictment on false-statement and obstruction counts tied to 2020 congressional testimony was dismissed without prejudice in November 2025 after a federal judge ruled the lead prosecutor’s appointment unlawful. A new April 2026 indictment in the Eastern District of North Carolina charges Comey with two felonies—threatening the president and transmitting a threat in interstate commerce—stemming from a May 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as “86 47.” The case carries a maximum ten-year penalty but faces an October 21, 2026 trial date after defense-requested delays, plus anticipated motions to dismiss on First Amendment “true threat” grounds under Supreme Court precedent. Comey has maintained his innocence and was released on his own recognizance. Any conviction would require post-trial proceedings and appeals before sentencing, making a prison sentence within the 2026 calendar year highly improbable under standard federal timelines. Traders price the low probability of resolution by year-end accordingly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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