A federal grand jury in the Eastern District of North Carolina indicted former FBI Director James Comey on April 28, 2026, for threatening President Trump and transmitting a threat via interstate commerce, stemming from a May 2025 Instagram post of seashells arranged as "86 47" on a North Carolina beach. Comey, who deleted the post and denies violent intent, self-surrendered amid First Amendment challenges from legal experts questioning the case's viability under Supreme Court true-threat precedents. Traders price "No" at 91% implied probability, reflecting the prior Virginia case's November 2025 dismissal over an unlawful prosecutor appointment, early-stage procedural hurdles like pending arraignment and dismissal motions, and the compressed timeline to trial, conviction, and prison sentencing by December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
$98,908 Vol.
NEW
$98,908 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
NEW
$98,908 Vol.
NEW
$98,908 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal grand jury in the Eastern District of North Carolina indicted former FBI Director James Comey on April 28, 2026, for threatening President Trump and transmitting a threat via interstate commerce, stemming from a May 2025 Instagram post of seashells arranged as "86 47" on a North Carolina beach. Comey, who deleted the post and denies violent intent, self-surrendered amid First Amendment challenges from legal experts questioning the case's viability under Supreme Court true-threat precedents. Traders price "No" at 91% implied probability, reflecting the prior Virginia case's November 2025 dismissal over an unlawful prosecutor appointment, early-stage procedural hurdles like pending arraignment and dismissal motions, and the compressed timeline to trial, conviction, and prison sentencing by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Volume
$98,908End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal grand jury in the Eastern District of North Carolina indicted former FBI Director James Comey on April 28, 2026, for threatening President Trump and transmitting a threat via interstate commerce, stemming from a May 2025 Instagram post of seashells arranged as "86 47" on a North Carolina beach. Comey, who deleted the post and denies violent intent, self-surrendered amid First Amendment challenges from legal experts questioning the case's viability under Supreme Court true-threat precedents. Traders price "No" at 91% implied probability, reflecting the prior Virginia case's November 2025 dismissal over an unlawful prosecutor appointment, early-stage procedural hurdles like pending arraignment and dismissal motions, and the compressed timeline to trial, conviction, and prison sentencing by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$101,114End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A federal grand jury in the Eastern District of North Carolina indicted former FBI Director James Comey on April 28, 2026, for threatening President Trump and transmitting a threat via interstate commerce, stemming from a May 2025 Instagram post of seashells arranged as "86 47" on a North Carolina beach. Comey, who deleted the post and denies violent intent, self-surrendered amid First Amendment challenges from legal experts questioning the case's viability under Supreme Court true-threat precedents. Traders price "No" at 91% implied probability, reflecting the prior Virginia case's November 2025 dismissal over an unlawful prosecutor appointment, early-stage procedural hurdles like pending arraignment and dismissal motions, and the compressed timeline to trial, conviction, and prison sentencing by December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions