Trader consensus favors a high of 70-71°F at 50.5% implied probability for Seattle on May 7, aligning closely with the National Weather Service's latest short-range forecast of partly sunny conditions and highs near 69-70°F under a building upper-level ridge promoting above-normal spring temperatures. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs, updated in the past 24 hours, supports this positioning amid a warm spell with today's highs nearing 80°F, though low-level onshore flow risks introducing persistent marine stratus and low clouds that could cap peaks in the mid-to-upper 60s—reflected in the clustered 35.5% odds for 62-69°F bins. Seattle's May climatological average high of around 64°F provides baseline context, with daily NWS updates and afternoon model refreshes likely to refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on May 7?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 7?
66-67°F 35%
64-65°F 30%
68-69°F 16%
62-63°F 14%
NEW
NEW
May 7, 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
35%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 35%
64-65°F 30%
68-69°F 16%
62-63°F 14%
NEW
NEW
May 7, 2026
57°F or below
$428 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$506 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$1,466 Vol.
3%
62-63°F
$1,388 Vol.
14%
64-65°F
$643 Vol.
30%
66-67°F
$591 Vol.
35%
68-69°F
$493 Vol.
16%
70-71°F
$1,473 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$759 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$722 Vol.
<1%
76°F or higher
$1,492 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high of 70-71°F at 50.5% implied probability for Seattle on May 7, aligning closely with the National Weather Service's latest short-range forecast of partly sunny conditions and highs near 69-70°F under a building upper-level ridge promoting above-normal spring temperatures. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs, updated in the past 24 hours, supports this positioning amid a warm spell with today's highs nearing 80°F, though low-level onshore flow risks introducing persistent marine stratus and low clouds that could cap peaks in the mid-to-upper 60s—reflected in the clustered 35.5% odds for 62-69°F bins. Seattle's May climatological average high of around 64°F provides baseline context, with daily NWS updates and afternoon model refreshes likely to refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$9,953End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high of 70-71°F at 50.5% implied probability for Seattle on May 7, aligning closely with the National Weather Service's latest short-range forecast of partly sunny conditions and highs near 69-70°F under a building upper-level ridge promoting above-normal spring temperatures. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs, updated in the past 24 hours, supports this positioning amid a warm spell with today's highs nearing 80°F, though low-level onshore flow risks introducing persistent marine stratus and low clouds that could cap peaks in the mid-to-upper 60s—reflected in the clustered 35.5% odds for 62-69°F bins. Seattle's May climatological average high of around 64°F provides baseline context, with daily NWS updates and afternoon model refreshes likely to refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,953End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a high of 70-71°F at 50.5% implied probability for Seattle on May 7, aligning closely with the National Weather Service's latest short-range forecast of partly sunny conditions and highs near 69-70°F under a building upper-level ridge promoting above-normal spring temperatures. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs, updated in the past 24 hours, supports this positioning amid a warm spell with today's highs nearing 80°F, though low-level onshore flow risks introducing persistent marine stratus and low clouds that could cap peaks in the mid-to-upper 60s—reflected in the clustered 35.5% odds for 62-69°F bins. Seattle's May climatological average high of around 64°F provides baseline context, with daily NWS updates and afternoon model refreshes likely to refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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