Official forecasts from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting models indicate stable winter conditions across the Southeast region, with a daily maximum of 21°C expected at São Paulo monitoring stations on June 5. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, where average highs range 21–24°C amid dry, mild air masses and light winds that limit afternoon warming. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 21°C reflects real-time observational trends and model agreement on these thresholds. A realistic challenge could arise from localized station variations or an unforecasted temperature spike exceeding model uncertainty ranges, though current data show low probability of deviation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 5?
21°C 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$54,627 Vol.
$54,627 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$54,627 Vol.
$54,627 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting models indicate stable winter conditions across the Southeast region, with a daily maximum of 21°C expected at São Paulo monitoring stations on June 5. This aligns with climatological norms for early June, where average highs range 21–24°C amid dry, mild air masses and light winds that limit afternoon warming. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 21°C reflects real-time observational trends and model agreement on these thresholds. A realistic challenge could arise from localized station variations or an unforecasted temperature spike exceeding model uncertainty ranges, though current data show low probability of deviation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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