Recent forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a high near 15–16°C for Wellington on June 6, following a brief unseasonal warm spell that set new June records above 19°C earlier in the month. A shift to cooler southerly flows and increased cloud cover is expected to moderate temperatures from recent peaks, aligning with the market-implied odds clustering on 16°C (35.5%) and 17°C (32%). Historical June averages hover around 13°C, with typical daily maxima rarely exceeding 16°C absent strong northerly advection. Traders weigh model consensus against potential variability in wind patterns and frontal timing, as updated runs could refine the peak by a degree or two ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 6?
16°C 39%
17°C 35%
15°C 16%
18°C 5.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jun 2026
11°C o menos
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
16%
16°C
39%
17°C
35%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
16°C 39%
17°C 35%
15°C 16%
18°C 5.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jun 2026
11°C o menos
$0 Vol.
1%
12°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$550 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$536 Vol.
4%
15°C
$112 Vol.
16%
16°C
$228 Vol.
39%
17°C
$299 Vol.
35%
18°C
$399 Vol.
6%
19°C
$31 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a high near 15–16°C for Wellington on June 6, following a brief unseasonal warm spell that set new June records above 19°C earlier in the month. A shift to cooler southerly flows and increased cloud cover is expected to moderate temperatures from recent peaks, aligning with the market-implied odds clustering on 16°C (35.5%) and 17°C (32%). Historical June averages hover around 13°C, with typical daily maxima rarely exceeding 16°C absent strong northerly advection. Traders weigh model consensus against potential variability in wind patterns and frontal timing, as updated runs could refine the peak by a degree or two ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$2,254Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a high near 15–16°C for Wellington on June 6, following a brief unseasonal warm spell that set new June records above 19°C earlier in the month. A shift to cooler southerly flows and increased cloud cover is expected to moderate temperatures from recent peaks, aligning with the market-implied odds clustering on 16°C (35.5%) and 17°C (32%). Historical June averages hover around 13°C, with typical daily maxima rarely exceeding 16°C absent strong northerly advection. Traders weigh model consensus against potential variability in wind patterns and frontal timing, as updated runs could refine the peak by a degree or two ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,254Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a high near 15–16°C for Wellington on June 6, following a brief unseasonal warm spell that set new June records above 19°C earlier in the month. A shift to cooler southerly flows and increased cloud cover is expected to moderate temperatures from recent peaks, aligning with the market-implied odds clustering on 16°C (35.5%) and 17°C (32%). Historical June averages hover around 13°C, with typical daily maxima rarely exceeding 16°C absent strong northerly advection. Traders weigh model consensus against potential variability in wind patterns and frontal timing, as updated runs could refine the peak by a degree or two ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes