Recent ensemble forecasts from Argentine and global models point to a daytime maximum of 18–19 °C in Buenos Aires on June 5 under a mild winter air mass, light northeasterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that moderate solar heating. This consensus underpins the closely matched market-implied odds for 19 °C and 18 °C while keeping higher or lower thresholds at low probability. Early-June climatology shows average highs of 14–17 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by limited cold advection. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional measurements, which resolve the market, will incorporate any afternoon cloud increases or wind shifts that could trim the peak by 1 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 5?
19°C 40%
18°C 31%
20°C 18%
17°C 4.8%
$17,537 Vol.
$17,537 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
31%
19°C
40%
20°C
18%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 40%
18°C 31%
20°C 18%
17°C 4.8%
$17,537 Vol.
$17,537 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
31%
19°C
40%
20°C
18%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Argentine and global models point to a daytime maximum of 18–19 °C in Buenos Aires on June 5 under a mild winter air mass, light northeasterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that moderate solar heating. This consensus underpins the closely matched market-implied odds for 19 °C and 18 °C while keeping higher or lower thresholds at low probability. Early-June climatology shows average highs of 14–17 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by limited cold advection. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional measurements, which resolve the market, will incorporate any afternoon cloud increases or wind shifts that could trim the peak by 1 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions