Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models, which project Milan daytime maximum temperatures of 21-24°C at Milano Malpensa Airport station on May 8, driven by a developing high-pressure ridge over central Europe fostering mild southerly flow and partial sunshine after recent spring showers. Italian services like 3B Meteo forecast a 24°C high with 90-95% confidence, while ensemble means hover near 22°C, matching historical early-May norms of 21-23°C amid Po Valley climatology. Differentiators include cloud cover variability impacting insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with minor model disagreements on peak heating timing; new 12Z runs expected May 6 could sharpen odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on May 8?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 8?
22°C 41%
21°C 35%
23°C 18%
20°C 6%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
35%
22°C
41%
23°C
18%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 41%
21°C 35%
23°C 18%
20°C 6%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
16°C or below
$35 Vol.
1%
17°C
$25 Vol.
1%
18°C
$232 Vol.
1%
19°C
$72 Vol.
3%
20°C
$32 Vol.
6%
21°C
$95 Vol.
35%
22°C
$203 Vol.
41%
23°C
$244 Vol.
18%
24°C
$49 Vol.
5%
25°C
$25 Vol.
2%
26°C or higher
$85 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models, which project Milan daytime maximum temperatures of 21-24°C at Milano Malpensa Airport station on May 8, driven by a developing high-pressure ridge over central Europe fostering mild southerly flow and partial sunshine after recent spring showers. Italian services like 3B Meteo forecast a 24°C high with 90-95% confidence, while ensemble means hover near 22°C, matching historical early-May norms of 21-23°C amid Po Valley climatology. Differentiators include cloud cover variability impacting insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with minor model disagreements on peak heating timing; new 12Z runs expected May 6 could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$1,098End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models, which project Milan daytime maximum temperatures of 21-24°C at Milano Malpensa Airport station on May 8, driven by a developing high-pressure ridge over central Europe fostering mild southerly flow and partial sunshine after recent spring showers. Italian services like 3B Meteo forecast a 24°C high with 90-95% confidence, while ensemble means hover near 22°C, matching historical early-May norms of 21-23°C amid Po Valley climatology. Differentiators include cloud cover variability impacting insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with minor model disagreements on peak heating timing; new 12Z runs expected May 6 could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,098End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models, which project Milan daytime maximum temperatures of 21-24°C at Milano Malpensa Airport station on May 8, driven by a developing high-pressure ridge over central Europe fostering mild southerly flow and partial sunshine after recent spring showers. Italian services like 3B Meteo forecast a 24°C high with 90-95% confidence, while ensemble means hover near 22°C, matching historical early-May norms of 21-23°C amid Po Valley climatology. Differentiators include cloud cover variability impacting insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with minor model disagreements on peak heating timing; new 12Z runs expected May 6 could sharpen odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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