Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 20–22°C for Milan's highest temperature on May 7, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid a transitional spring pattern over northern Italy. Latest updates from Italian services like 3B Meteo indicate a maximum near 23°C as an Atlantic low-pressure system departs, bringing clearing skies and southerly flow after rainy conditions on May 5–6 that capped recent highs at 18°C. Differentiating factors include the timing of convective clearing, boundary-layer mixing under a developing upper-level ridge, and ensemble spread in ECMWF/GFS runs—partial cloudiness could suppress peaks to 20–21°C, while full insolation enables 22°C. New model outputs expected today may sharpen probabilities; climatological May 7 highs average 21°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on May 7?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 7?
21°C 44%
20°C 28%
22°C 25%
19°C 7%
NEW
$10,011 Vol.
NEW
$10,011 Vol.
May 7, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
28%
21°C
44%
22°C
25%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 44%
20°C 28%
22°C 25%
19°C 7%
NEW
$10,011 Vol.
NEW
$10,011 Vol.
May 7, 2026
14°C or below
$370 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$373 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,071 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,016 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,351 Vol.
7%
20°C
$881 Vol.
28%
21°C
$743 Vol.
44%
22°C
$744 Vol.
25%
23°C
$1,375 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$863 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 20–22°C for Milan's highest temperature on May 7, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid a transitional spring pattern over northern Italy. Latest updates from Italian services like 3B Meteo indicate a maximum near 23°C as an Atlantic low-pressure system departs, bringing clearing skies and southerly flow after rainy conditions on May 5–6 that capped recent highs at 18°C. Differentiating factors include the timing of convective clearing, boundary-layer mixing under a developing upper-level ridge, and ensemble spread in ECMWF/GFS runs—partial cloudiness could suppress peaks to 20–21°C, while full insolation enables 22°C. New model outputs expected today may sharpen probabilities; climatological May 7 highs average 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$10,011End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 20–22°C for Milan's highest temperature on May 7, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid a transitional spring pattern over northern Italy. Latest updates from Italian services like 3B Meteo indicate a maximum near 23°C as an Atlantic low-pressure system departs, bringing clearing skies and southerly flow after rainy conditions on May 5–6 that capped recent highs at 18°C. Differentiating factors include the timing of convective clearing, boundary-layer mixing under a developing upper-level ridge, and ensemble spread in ECMWF/GFS runs—partial cloudiness could suppress peaks to 20–21°C, while full insolation enables 22°C. New model outputs expected today may sharpen probabilities; climatological May 7 highs average 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,011End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 20–22°C for Milan's highest temperature on May 7, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid a transitional spring pattern over northern Italy. Latest updates from Italian services like 3B Meteo indicate a maximum near 23°C as an Atlantic low-pressure system departs, bringing clearing skies and southerly flow after rainy conditions on May 5–6 that capped recent highs at 18°C. Differentiating factors include the timing of convective clearing, boundary-layer mixing under a developing upper-level ridge, and ensemble spread in ECMWF/GFS runs—partial cloudiness could suppress peaks to 20–21°C, while full insolation enables 22°C. New model outputs expected today may sharpen probabilities; climatological May 7 highs average 21°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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