Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 7 high temperature, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF clustering outcomes between 84°F and 91°F amid a warming trend following recent shower suppression. Current upper-ridge pattern aloft and light southeast winds favor diurnal heating to upper 80s, but sea breeze development and potential afternoon cumulus clouds or isolated thunderstorms could cap peaks at mid-80s or push toward low 90s if drier. May climatological normals hover at 86°F, aligning with the split; new 12Z model runs and NWS updates later today will clarify convective timing and cloud cover impacts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on May 7?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 7?
90-91°F 45%
88-89°F 24%
92-93°F 21%
94-95°F 4.8%
NEW
$10,907 Vol.
NEW
$10,907 Vol.
May 7, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
24%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 45%
88-89°F 24%
92-93°F 21%
94-95°F 4.8%
NEW
$10,907 Vol.
NEW
$10,907 Vol.
May 7, 2026
79°F or below
$584 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$411 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$1,199 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$1,629 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$1,806 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$740 Vol.
24%
90-91°F
$1,068 Vol.
45%
92-93°F
$1,496 Vol.
21%
94-95°F
$738 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$562 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$707 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 7 high temperature, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF clustering outcomes between 84°F and 91°F amid a warming trend following recent shower suppression. Current upper-ridge pattern aloft and light southeast winds favor diurnal heating to upper 80s, but sea breeze development and potential afternoon cumulus clouds or isolated thunderstorms could cap peaks at mid-80s or push toward low 90s if drier. May climatological normals hover at 86°F, aligning with the split; new 12Z model runs and NWS updates later today will clarify convective timing and cloud cover impacts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$10,907End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 7 high temperature, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF clustering outcomes between 84°F and 91°F amid a warming trend following recent shower suppression. Current upper-ridge pattern aloft and light southeast winds favor diurnal heating to upper 80s, but sea breeze development and potential afternoon cumulus clouds or isolated thunderstorms could cap peaks at mid-80s or push toward low 90s if drier. May climatological normals hover at 86°F, aligning with the split; new 12Z model runs and NWS updates later today will clarify convective timing and cloud cover impacts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,907End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 7 high temperature, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF clustering outcomes between 84°F and 91°F amid a warming trend following recent shower suppression. Current upper-ridge pattern aloft and light southeast winds favor diurnal heating to upper 80s, but sea breeze development and potential afternoon cumulus clouds or isolated thunderstorms could cap peaks at mid-80s or push toward low 90s if drier. May climatological normals hover at 86°F, aligning with the split; new 12Z model runs and NWS updates later today will clarify convective timing and cloud cover impacts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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