National Weather Service forecasts project Miami's highest temperature today near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds around 5-10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment with 86-87°F (33%) and 88-89°F (41.5%) as leading outcomes per market-implied odds. This tight clustering reflects ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF short-range runs, where climatological May 6 average of 86.1°F aligns with current high pressure ridge promoting solar heating, tempered by high humidity (around 78%) and potential sea breeze development onshore from Biscayne Bay. Differentiating factors include delayed sea breeze timing favoring 88-89°F peaks via prolonged inland advection, versus earlier marine incursions capping at 86-87°F; isolated afternoon convection adds uncertainty. Monitor hourly Miami International Airport observations and NWS updates through late afternoon for resolution-defining peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on May 6?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 6?
88-89°F 45%
86-87°F 43%
90-91°F 16%
84-85°F 3.5%
$34,051 Vol.
$34,051 Vol.
May 6, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
43%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 45%
86-87°F 43%
90-91°F 16%
84-85°F 3.5%
$34,051 Vol.
$34,051 Vol.
May 6, 2026
79°F or below
$1,336 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$2,978 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$6,838 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$4,467 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$2,865 Vol.
43%
88-89°F
$3,426 Vol.
45%
90-91°F
$3,488 Vol.
16%
92-93°F
$5,018 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$2,538 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$715 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$526 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project Miami's highest temperature today near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds around 5-10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment with 86-87°F (33%) and 88-89°F (41.5%) as leading outcomes per market-implied odds. This tight clustering reflects ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF short-range runs, where climatological May 6 average of 86.1°F aligns with current high pressure ridge promoting solar heating, tempered by high humidity (around 78%) and potential sea breeze development onshore from Biscayne Bay. Differentiating factors include delayed sea breeze timing favoring 88-89°F peaks via prolonged inland advection, versus earlier marine incursions capping at 86-87°F; isolated afternoon convection adds uncertainty. Monitor hourly Miami International Airport observations and NWS updates through late afternoon for resolution-defining peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Volume
$34,051End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project Miami's highest temperature today near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds around 5-10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment with 86-87°F (33%) and 88-89°F (41.5%) as leading outcomes per market-implied odds. This tight clustering reflects ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF short-range runs, where climatological May 6 average of 86.1°F aligns with current high pressure ridge promoting solar heating, tempered by high humidity (around 78%) and potential sea breeze development onshore from Biscayne Bay. Differentiating factors include delayed sea breeze timing favoring 88-89°F peaks via prolonged inland advection, versus earlier marine incursions capping at 86-87°F; isolated afternoon convection adds uncertainty. Monitor hourly Miami International Airport observations and NWS updates through late afternoon for resolution-defining peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$34,051End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts project Miami's highest temperature today near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds around 5-10 mph, anchoring trader sentiment with 86-87°F (33%) and 88-89°F (41.5%) as leading outcomes per market-implied odds. This tight clustering reflects ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF short-range runs, where climatological May 6 average of 86.1°F aligns with current high pressure ridge promoting solar heating, tempered by high humidity (around 78%) and potential sea breeze development onshore from Biscayne Bay. Differentiating factors include delayed sea breeze timing favoring 88-89°F peaks via prolonged inland advection, versus earlier marine incursions capping at 86-87°F; isolated afternoon convection adds uncertainty. Monitor hourly Miami International Airport observations and NWS updates through late afternoon for resolution-defining peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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