Forecast models from agencies like Spain's AEMET point to a maximum temperature in Madrid on June 6 centering on 30–31°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system promoting clear skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating under typical early-summer insolation. Minor divergences between leading outcomes stem from subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the urban heat island effect that can add 1–2°C locally. Ensemble guidance shows low precipitation risk and consistent steering patterns, keeping extremes below 28°C or above 32°C unlikely while leaving the precise peak sensitive to small timing shifts in any frontal approach or radiational cooling overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Madrid on June 6?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 6?
31°C 41%
30°C 36%
29°C 11%
32°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
11%
30°C
36%
31°C
41%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 41%
30°C 36%
29°C 11%
32°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$22 Vol.
1%
28°C
$187 Vol.
1%
29°C
$704 Vol.
11%
30°C
$166 Vol.
36%
31°C
$211 Vol.
41%
32°C
$412 Vol.
8%
33°C
$0 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like Spain's AEMET point to a maximum temperature in Madrid on June 6 centering on 30–31°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system promoting clear skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating under typical early-summer insolation. Minor divergences between leading outcomes stem from subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the urban heat island effect that can add 1–2°C locally. Ensemble guidance shows low precipitation risk and consistent steering patterns, keeping extremes below 28°C or above 32°C unlikely while leaving the precise peak sensitive to small timing shifts in any frontal approach or radiational cooling overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$1,771End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like Spain's AEMET point to a maximum temperature in Madrid on June 6 centering on 30–31°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system promoting clear skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating under typical early-summer insolation. Minor divergences between leading outcomes stem from subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the urban heat island effect that can add 1–2°C locally. Ensemble guidance shows low precipitation risk and consistent steering patterns, keeping extremes below 28°C or above 32°C unlikely while leaving the precise peak sensitive to small timing shifts in any frontal approach or radiational cooling overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,771End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like Spain's AEMET point to a maximum temperature in Madrid on June 6 centering on 30–31°C, driven by a stable high-pressure system promoting clear skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating under typical early-summer insolation. Minor divergences between leading outcomes stem from subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the urban heat island effect that can add 1–2°C locally. Ensemble guidance shows low precipitation risk and consistent steering patterns, keeping extremes below 28°C or above 32°C unlikely while leaving the precise peak sensitive to small timing shifts in any frontal approach or radiational cooling overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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