Latest BMKG forecasts for May 3, 2026, project daytime highs of 25–31°C across DKI Jakarta, including at stations like Senayan (max 30°C), driven by light to moderate rain, thunderstorms, and humidity exceeding 90% amid active atmospheric waves (MJO phase 2, Rossby/Kelvin waves) sustaining cloud formation during the rainy-to-dry seasonal transition (pancaroba). Yet trader consensus prices 33°C at 41% implied probability for Halim Perdanakusuma Airport—the market's resolving station—reflecting urban heat island amplification, recent late-April peaks over 34°C, and May climatological norms around 32°C with potential solar insolation if showers clear midday. Nearby siaga alerts for heavy rain introduce uncertainty, with hourly BMKG updates expected to refine model consensus before observations begin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 3?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 3?
33°C 43%
34°C 24%
32°C 22%
35°C 6.7%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
43%
34°C
24%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 43%
34°C 24%
32°C 22%
35°C 6.7%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
43%
34°C
24%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest BMKG forecasts for May 3, 2026, project daytime highs of 25–31°C across DKI Jakarta, including at stations like Senayan (max 30°C), driven by light to moderate rain, thunderstorms, and humidity exceeding 90% amid active atmospheric waves (MJO phase 2, Rossby/Kelvin waves) sustaining cloud formation during the rainy-to-dry seasonal transition (pancaroba). Yet trader consensus prices 33°C at 41% implied probability for Halim Perdanakusuma Airport—the market's resolving station—reflecting urban heat island amplification, recent late-April peaks over 34°C, and May climatological norms around 32°C with potential solar insolation if showers clear midday. Nearby siaga alerts for heavy rain introduce uncertainty, with hourly BMKG updates expected to refine model consensus before observations begin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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