Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a warm southerly flow advecting air with temperatures several degrees above the early-June climatological normal of 78°F at Chicago’s O’Hare station. This pattern supports peak readings most likely in the mid-80s, with the tightest clustering of market-implied odds between 84–87°F reflecting model consensus on maximum temperatures while acknowledging typical 2–3°F forecast spread from boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and lake-breeze effects. Limited precipitation risk and strengthening southwest winds further favor the higher end of the distribution, though any overnight clearing or stronger lake moderation could pull readings toward the lower 80s. Updated model runs and the final NWS forecast issued overnight will provide the last major data point before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chicago on June 6?
84-85°F 33%
82-83°F 23%
86-87°F 15%
80-81°F 8%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
7%
90°F or higher
2%
84-85°F 33%
82-83°F 23%
86-87°F 15%
80-81°F 8%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
7%
90°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a warm southerly flow advecting air with temperatures several degrees above the early-June climatological normal of 78°F at Chicago’s O’Hare station. This pattern supports peak readings most likely in the mid-80s, with the tightest clustering of market-implied odds between 84–87°F reflecting model consensus on maximum temperatures while acknowledging typical 2–3°F forecast spread from boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and lake-breeze effects. Limited precipitation risk and strengthening southwest winds further favor the higher end of the distribution, though any overnight clearing or stronger lake moderation could pull readings toward the lower 80s. Updated model runs and the final NWS forecast issued overnight will provide the last major data point before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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