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Ali Khamenei predictions & odds

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Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

98%

Giorgia Meloni

$541K Vol.

$121K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

79%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$15M Vol.

$480K today

$2M Liq.

121

Ends in 7 months

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

62%

JD Vance

$208K Vol.

$118K today

$404K Liq.

8

Ends in about 2 months

Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

75%

<5

$5.3K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Khamenei # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

81%

<5

$12.1K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Khamenei # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

88%

<5

$2.4K Vol.

$27.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

11%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$32.5K Liq.

185

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

21%

December 31

$17M Vol.

$149K Liq.

1,071

Ends in 7 months

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

7%

December 31

$53.4K Vol.

$80.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

3%

June 30

$477K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

11

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

1%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$28.6K Liq.

77

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

1%

$55M Vol.

$487K today

$1M Liq.

3

Ends in 15 days

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

6%

June 30, 2026

$888K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

46

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

11%

$20M Vol.

$57.4K today

$318K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

5%

$604K Vol.

$30.4K Liq.

25

Ends in 7 months

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

3%

$2M Vol.

$96.2K today

$55.1K Liq.

27

Ends in 15 days

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

78%

July 31

$34M Vol.

$875K today

$268K Liq.

646

Ends in 15 days

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

10%

December 31

$21M Vol.

$210K Liq.

417

Ends in 15 days

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

84%

July 31

$53M Vol.

$6M today

$4M Liq.

977

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

2%

Any U.S. House member

$419K Vol.

$87.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 15 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Ali Khamenei that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will Trump meet with in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $224.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ali Khamenei predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.