Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes, has not appeared publicly since surviving a near-fatal strike on February 28, fueling persistent rumors of severe injuries and temporary evacuation to Russia for medical treatment. Conflicting reports—Russian officials confirming his presence in Iran on April 1, amid unverified claims of coma or disfiguring wounds—have created uncertainty, with state media using AI-generated statements in his name. Ongoing regional conflict, IRGC power consolidation, and lack of verified sightings drive trader focus on potential exile risks, though no confirmed departure exists; escalation in hostilities or health disclosures could shift dynamics before any resolution deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,036,920 Vol.
30 abr 2026
30 de abril
<1%
31 de mayo
4%
30 de junio
7%
$1,036,920 Vol.
30 de abril
$325,641 Vol.
<1%
31 de mayo
$32,408 Vol.
4%
30 de junio
$16,394 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes, has not appeared publicly since surviving a near-fatal strike on February 28, fueling persistent rumors of severe injuries and temporary evacuation to Russia for medical treatment. Conflicting reports—Russian officials confirming his presence in Iran on April 1, amid unverified claims of coma or disfiguring wounds—have created uncertainty, with state media using AI-generated statements in his name. Ongoing regional conflict, IRGC power consolidation, and lack of verified sightings drive trader focus on potential exile risks, though no confirmed departure exists; escalation in hostilities or health disclosures could shift dynamics before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volumen
$1,036,920Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes, has not appeared publicly since surviving a near-fatal strike on February 28, fueling persistent rumors of severe injuries and temporary evacuation to Russia for medical treatment. Conflicting reports—Russian officials confirming his presence in Iran on April 1, amid unverified claims of coma or disfiguring wounds—have created uncertainty, with state media using AI-generated statements in his name. Ongoing regional conflict, IRGC power consolidation, and lack of verified sightings drive trader focus on potential exile risks, though no confirmed departure exists; escalation in hostilities or health disclosures could shift dynamics before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,036,920Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes, has not appeared publicly since surviving a near-fatal strike on February 28, fueling persistent rumors of severe injuries and temporary evacuation to Russia for medical treatment. Conflicting reports—Russian officials confirming his presence in Iran on April 1, amid unverified claims of coma or disfiguring wounds—have created uncertainty, with state media using AI-generated statements in his name. Ongoing regional conflict, IRGC power consolidation, and lack of verified sightings drive trader focus on potential exile risks, though no confirmed departure exists; escalation in hostilities or health disclosures could shift dynamics before any resolution deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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