President Donald Trump has signaled openness to extending the fragile US-Iran ceasefire, originally declared in April 2026 and later made indefinite, amid stalled talks on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and limiting Iran's nuclear program. The most recent major development occurred on June 8, when Israel and Iran exchanged missile strikes before both sides halted attacks following direct intervention by Trump, who cited progress in indirect nuclear negotiations. Ongoing violations by multiple parties, including skirmishes in the Strait and Lebanese theater, have kept the truce under pressure, while Trump has privately indicated he would only resume major hostilities if US troops were targeted. Traders monitor these diplomatic signals and any formal announcements ending the pause, which remains subject to rapid shifts from escalation or renewed mediation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Trump anuncia el alto el fuego entre Estados Unidos e Irán para el...?
¿Trump anuncia el alto el fuego entre Estados Unidos e Irán para el...?
NUEVO
$30,629 Vol.
9 jun 2026
8 de junio
<1%
12 de junio
3%
15 de junio
6%
30 de junio
16%
$30,629 Vol.
8 de junio
$9,710 Vol.
<1%
12 de junio
$10,693 Vol.
3%
15 de junio
$16,839 Vol.
6%
30 de junio
$1,204 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. publicly and officially announces, between Market Creation and the End Date (11:59 PM ET) that no ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran is in effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any commitment in effect between the U.S. and Iran to refrain from military hostilities.
Statements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement will qualify.
The expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without extension will not alone qualify.
Statements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire will not alone qualify.
Announcements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework or ceasefire extension) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a mutual commitment to a halt in military hostilities will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government and the U.S. military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account), and videos posted on his social media accounts, will qualify.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.President Donald Trump has signaled openness to extending the fragile US-Iran ceasefire, originally declared in April 2026 and later made indefinite, amid stalled talks on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and limiting Iran's nuclear program. The most recent major development occurred on June 8, when Israel and Iran exchanged missile strikes before both sides halted attacks following direct intervention by Trump, who cited progress in indirect nuclear negotiations. Ongoing violations by multiple parties, including skirmishes in the Strait and Lebanese theater, have kept the truce under pressure, while Trump has privately indicated he would only resume major hostilities if US troops were targeted. Traders monitor these diplomatic signals and any formal announcements ending the pause, which remains subject to rapid shifts from escalation or renewed mediation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. publicly and officially announces, between Market Creation and the End Date (11:59 PM ET) that no ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran is in effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any commitment in effect between the U.S. and Iran to refrain from military hostilities.
Statements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement will qualify.
The expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without extension will not alone qualify.
Statements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire will not alone qualify.
Announcements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework or ceasefire extension) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a mutual commitment to a halt in military hostilities will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government and the U.S. military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account), and videos posted on his social media accounts, will qualify.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any commitment in effect between the U.S. and Iran to refrain from military hostilities.
Statements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement will qualify.
The expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without extension will not alone qualify.
Statements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire will not alone qualify.
Announcements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework or ceasefire extension) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a mutual commitment to a halt in military hostilities will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government and the U.S. military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account), and videos posted on his social media accounts, will qualify.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 8, 2026, 9:53 PM ET
Volumen
$30,629Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 9:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. publicly and officially announces, between Market Creation and the End Date (11:59 PM ET) that no ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran is in effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any commitment in effect between the U.S. and Iran to refrain from military hostilities.
Statements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement will qualify.
The expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without extension will not alone qualify.
Statements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire will not alone qualify.
Announcements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework or ceasefire extension) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a mutual commitment to a halt in military hostilities will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government and the U.S. military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account), and videos posted on his social media accounts, will qualify.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.President Donald Trump has signaled openness to extending the fragile US-Iran ceasefire, originally declared in April 2026 and later made indefinite, amid stalled talks on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and limiting Iran's nuclear program. The most recent major development occurred on June 8, when Israel and Iran exchanged missile strikes before both sides halted attacks following direct intervention by Trump, who cited progress in indirect nuclear negotiations. Ongoing violations by multiple parties, including skirmishes in the Strait and Lebanese theater, have kept the truce under pressure, while Trump has privately indicated he would only resume major hostilities if US troops were targeted. Traders monitor these diplomatic signals and any formal announcements ending the pause, which remains subject to rapid shifts from escalation or renewed mediation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. publicly and officially announces, between Market Creation and the End Date (11:59 PM ET) that no ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran is in effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any commitment in effect between the U.S. and Iran to refrain from military hostilities.
Statements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement will qualify.
The expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without extension will not alone qualify.
Statements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire will not alone qualify.
Announcements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework or ceasefire extension) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a mutual commitment to a halt in military hostilities will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government and the U.S. military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account), and videos posted on his social media accounts, will qualify.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any commitment in effect between the U.S. and Iran to refrain from military hostilities.
Statements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement will qualify.
The expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without extension will not alone qualify.
Statements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire will not alone qualify.
Announcements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework or ceasefire extension) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a mutual commitment to a halt in military hostilities will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government and the U.S. military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account), and videos posted on his social media accounts, will qualify.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.
Volumen
$30,629Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 9:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump has signaled openness to extending the fragile US-Iran ceasefire, originally declared in April 2026 and later made indefinite, amid stalled talks on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and limiting Iran's nuclear program. The most recent major development occurred on June 8, when Israel and Iran exchanged missile strikes before both sides halted attacks following direct intervention by Trump, who cited progress in indirect nuclear negotiations. Ongoing violations by multiple parties, including skirmishes in the Strait and Lebanese theater, have kept the truce under pressure, while Trump has privately indicated he would only resume major hostilities if US troops were targeted. Traders monitor these diplomatic signals and any formal announcements ending the pause, which remains subject to rapid shifts from escalation or renewed mediation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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