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icon for ¿Quién entrará en Irán antes del 30 de junio?

¿Quién entrará en Irán antes del 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Quién entrará en Irán antes del 30 de junio?

¿Quién entrará en Irán antes del 30 de junio?

$419,469 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$419,469 Vol.

Polymarket

Cualquier miembro de la Cámara de Representantes de EE. UU.

$94,269 Vol.

2%

Algún senador estadounidense

$31,249 Vol.

1%

JD Vance

$36,441 Vol.

1%

Marco Rubio

$22,654 Vol.

1%

Jared Kushner

$15,911 Vol.

1%

Benjamín Netanyahu

$50,160 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$71,468 Vol.

<1%

Pete Hegseth

$97,317 Vol.

<1%

If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic talks between the United States, Iran, and Israel have advanced in recent days, with President Trump citing progress toward a memorandum of understanding and canceling planned strikes as of June 11. A temporary ceasefire remains strained by exchanges in early June and disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, yet both sides have signaled willingness to pursue de-escalation ahead of potential signing timelines. Military operations have centered on airstrikes, naval interdictions, and support for proxies in Lebanon rather than ground incursions into Iranian territory. No verified reports indicate imminent entry by U.S. officials, Israeli leaders, or other named actors before the June 30 resolution window. Trader consensus reflects these diplomatic priorities and logistical barriers, with scheduled negotiations and any last-minute escalations serving as the main variables that could alter positioning.

If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$419,469
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic talks between the United States, Iran, and Israel have advanced in recent days, with President Trump citing progress toward a memorandum of understanding and canceling planned strikes as of June 11. A temporary ceasefire remains strained by exchanges in early June and disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, yet both sides have signaled willingness to pursue de-escalation ahead of potential signing timelines. Military operations have centered on airstrikes, naval interdictions, and support for proxies in Lebanon rather than ground incursions into Iranian territory. No verified reports indicate imminent entry by U.S. officials, Israeli leaders, or other named actors before the June 30 resolution window. Trader consensus reflects these diplomatic priorities and logistical barriers, with scheduled negotiations and any last-minute escalations serving as the main variables that could alter positioning.

If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$419,469
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién entrará en Irán antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Cualquier miembro de la Cámara de Representantes de EE. UU." con 2%, seguido de "Algún senador estadounidense" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 2¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 2% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién entrará en Irán antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $419.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién entrará en Irán antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Quién entrará en Irán antes del 30 de junio?" es "Cualquier miembro de la Cámara de Representantes de EE. UU." con solo 2%, con "Algún senador estadounidense" muy cerca con 1%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién entrará en Irán antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.