Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges, including CENTCOM airstrikes on Iranian air defenses, radar, and drone sites near the Strait of Hormuz in early June 2026 in response to Iranian drone attacks on US assets, have sustained high security risks and restricted access. These actions coincide with a US naval blockade, Iranian threats to close the strait, and fragile negotiations over nuclear issues and asset releases, with no confirmed plans for US congressional members, administration officials such as JD Vance or Marco Rubio, or figures like Jared Kushner or Benjamin Netanyahu to travel into Iranian territory. Trader consensus assigns minimal implied probability to any listed individual entering by the June 30 resolution date, reflecting the absence of scheduled diplomatic visits or de-escalation sufficient to enable physical entry amid active hostilities and procedural barriers. Upcoming diplomatic reviews or further strikes could still shift conditions before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$419,389 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Cualquier miembro de la Cámara de Representantes de EE. UU.
2%
Jared Kushner
2%
Algún senador estadounidense
1%
JD Vance
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Benjamín Netanyahu
1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
$419,389 Vol.
Cualquier miembro de la Cámara de Representantes de EE. UU.
$94,269 Vol.
2%
Jared Kushner
$15,831 Vol.
2%
Algún senador estadounidense
$31,249 Vol.
1%
JD Vance
$36,441 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$22,654 Vol.
1%
Benjamín Netanyahu
$50,160 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$71,468 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$97,317 Vol.
<1%
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges, including CENTCOM airstrikes on Iranian air defenses, radar, and drone sites near the Strait of Hormuz in early June 2026 in response to Iranian drone attacks on US assets, have sustained high security risks and restricted access. These actions coincide with a US naval blockade, Iranian threats to close the strait, and fragile negotiations over nuclear issues and asset releases, with no confirmed plans for US congressional members, administration officials such as JD Vance or Marco Rubio, or figures like Jared Kushner or Benjamin Netanyahu to travel into Iranian territory. Trader consensus assigns minimal implied probability to any listed individual entering by the June 30 resolution date, reflecting the absence of scheduled diplomatic visits or de-escalation sufficient to enable physical entry amid active hostilities and procedural barriers. Upcoming diplomatic reviews or further strikes could still shift conditions before the deadline.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Volumen
$419,389Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges, including CENTCOM airstrikes on Iranian air defenses, radar, and drone sites near the Strait of Hormuz in early June 2026 in response to Iranian drone attacks on US assets, have sustained high security risks and restricted access. These actions coincide with a US naval blockade, Iranian threats to close the strait, and fragile negotiations over nuclear issues and asset releases, with no confirmed plans for US congressional members, administration officials such as JD Vance or Marco Rubio, or figures like Jared Kushner or Benjamin Netanyahu to travel into Iranian territory. Trader consensus assigns minimal implied probability to any listed individual entering by the June 30 resolution date, reflecting the absence of scheduled diplomatic visits or de-escalation sufficient to enable physical entry amid active hostilities and procedural barriers. Upcoming diplomatic reviews or further strikes could still shift conditions before the deadline.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$419,389Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges, including CENTCOM airstrikes on Iranian air defenses, radar, and drone sites near the Strait of Hormuz in early June 2026 in response to Iranian drone attacks on US assets, have sustained high security risks and restricted access. These actions coincide with a US naval blockade, Iranian threats to close the strait, and fragile negotiations over nuclear issues and asset releases, with no confirmed plans for US congressional members, administration officials such as JD Vance or Marco Rubio, or figures like Jared Kushner or Benjamin Netanyahu to travel into Iranian territory. Trader consensus assigns minimal implied probability to any listed individual entering by the June 30 resolution date, reflecting the absence of scheduled diplomatic visits or de-escalation sufficient to enable physical entry amid active hostilities and procedural barriers. Upcoming diplomatic reviews or further strikes could still shift conditions before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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