Diplomatic talks between the United States, Iran, and Israel have advanced in recent days, with President Trump citing progress toward a memorandum of understanding and canceling planned strikes as of June 11. A temporary ceasefire remains strained by exchanges in early June and disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, yet both sides have signaled willingness to pursue de-escalation ahead of potential signing timelines. Military operations have centered on airstrikes, naval interdictions, and support for proxies in Lebanon rather than ground incursions into Iranian territory. No verified reports indicate imminent entry by U.S. officials, Israeli leaders, or other named actors before the June 30 resolution window. Trader consensus reflects these diplomatic priorities and logistical barriers, with scheduled negotiations and any last-minute escalations serving as the main variables that could alter positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$419,469 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Cualquier miembro de la Cámara de Representantes de EE. UU.
2%
Algún senador estadounidense
1%
JD Vance
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Jared Kushner
1%
Benjamín Netanyahu
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
$419,469 Vol.
Cualquier miembro de la Cámara de Representantes de EE. UU.
$94,269 Vol.
2%
Algún senador estadounidense
$31,249 Vol.
1%
JD Vance
$36,441 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$22,654 Vol.
1%
Jared Kushner
$15,911 Vol.
1%
Benjamín Netanyahu
$50,160 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$71,468 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$97,317 Vol.
<1%
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic talks between the United States, Iran, and Israel have advanced in recent days, with President Trump citing progress toward a memorandum of understanding and canceling planned strikes as of June 11. A temporary ceasefire remains strained by exchanges in early June and disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, yet both sides have signaled willingness to pursue de-escalation ahead of potential signing timelines. Military operations have centered on airstrikes, naval interdictions, and support for proxies in Lebanon rather than ground incursions into Iranian territory. No verified reports indicate imminent entry by U.S. officials, Israeli leaders, or other named actors before the June 30 resolution window. Trader consensus reflects these diplomatic priorities and logistical barriers, with scheduled negotiations and any last-minute escalations serving as the main variables that could alter positioning.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Volumen
$419,469Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic talks between the United States, Iran, and Israel have advanced in recent days, with President Trump citing progress toward a memorandum of understanding and canceling planned strikes as of June 11. A temporary ceasefire remains strained by exchanges in early June and disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, yet both sides have signaled willingness to pursue de-escalation ahead of potential signing timelines. Military operations have centered on airstrikes, naval interdictions, and support for proxies in Lebanon rather than ground incursions into Iranian territory. No verified reports indicate imminent entry by U.S. officials, Israeli leaders, or other named actors before the June 30 resolution window. Trader consensus reflects these diplomatic priorities and logistical barriers, with scheduled negotiations and any last-minute escalations serving as the main variables that could alter positioning.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$419,469Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic talks between the United States, Iran, and Israel have advanced in recent days, with President Trump citing progress toward a memorandum of understanding and canceling planned strikes as of June 11. A temporary ceasefire remains strained by exchanges in early June and disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, yet both sides have signaled willingness to pursue de-escalation ahead of potential signing timelines. Military operations have centered on airstrikes, naval interdictions, and support for proxies in Lebanon rather than ground incursions into Iranian territory. No verified reports indicate imminent entry by U.S. officials, Israeli leaders, or other named actors before the June 30 resolution window. Trader consensus reflects these diplomatic priorities and logistical barriers, with scheduled negotiations and any last-minute escalations serving as the main variables that could alter positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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