Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, during escalated military conflict, triggering the constitutional succession process via a temporary leadership council and the Assembly of Experts. The 88-member clerical body selected Mojtaba Khamenei as his successor in early March 2026, completing the transition with minimal interim disruption. Trader sentiment on leadership change markets has been shaped by these confirmed events, alongside earlier 2025-early 2026 pressures from protests, economic strain, and regional military setbacks that increased speculation about instability. No major new developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter the post-succession landscape, though ongoing geopolitical tensions could influence perceptions of regime continuity or future shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$17,495,588 Vol.
30 jun 2026
30 de junio
4%
31 de diciembre
21%
$17,495,588 Vol.
30 de junio
$2,989,582 Vol.
4%
31 de diciembre
$2,907,179 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, during escalated military conflict, triggering the constitutional succession process via a temporary leadership council and the Assembly of Experts. The 88-member clerical body selected Mojtaba Khamenei as his successor in early March 2026, completing the transition with minimal interim disruption. Trader sentiment on leadership change markets has been shaped by these confirmed events, alongside earlier 2025-early 2026 pressures from protests, economic strain, and regional military setbacks that increased speculation about instability. No major new developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter the post-succession landscape, though ongoing geopolitical tensions could influence perceptions of regime continuity or future shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volumen
$17,495,588Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, during escalated military conflict, triggering the constitutional succession process via a temporary leadership council and the Assembly of Experts. The 88-member clerical body selected Mojtaba Khamenei as his successor in early March 2026, completing the transition with minimal interim disruption. Trader sentiment on leadership change markets has been shaped by these confirmed events, alongside earlier 2025-early 2026 pressures from protests, economic strain, and regional military setbacks that increased speculation about instability. No major new developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter the post-succession landscape, though ongoing geopolitical tensions could influence perceptions of regime continuity or future shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$17,495,588Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, during escalated military conflict, triggering the constitutional succession process via a temporary leadership council and the Assembly of Experts. The 88-member clerical body selected Mojtaba Khamenei as his successor in early March 2026, completing the transition with minimal interim disruption. Trader sentiment on leadership change markets has been shaped by these confirmed events, alongside earlier 2025-early 2026 pressures from protests, economic strain, and regional military setbacks that increased speculation about instability. No major new developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter the post-succession landscape, though ongoing geopolitical tensions could influence perceptions of regime continuity or future shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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