Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei assumed power in March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli airstrikes in the ongoing 2026 Iran war. The Assembly of Experts formalized the transition amid regime-change efforts by Washington and Tel Aviv, with Mojtaba elevated despite limited public visibility and reports of his potential incapacitation or medical treatment. Ongoing military pressure, domestic protests, economic strain, and questions over effective control by the IRGC or interim structures continue to shape trader assessments of further leadership shifts by mid- or end-2026. Scheduled events such as Ali Khamenei's postponed funeral ceremonies in July could influence stability, while any escalation in conflict or verified health developments remain key variables for market resolution on de facto leadership changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$17,494,228 Vol.
30 jun 2026
30 de junio
4%
31 de diciembre
21%
$17,494,228 Vol.
30 de junio
$2,989,371 Vol.
4%
31 de diciembre
$2,898,615 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei assumed power in March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli airstrikes in the ongoing 2026 Iran war. The Assembly of Experts formalized the transition amid regime-change efforts by Washington and Tel Aviv, with Mojtaba elevated despite limited public visibility and reports of his potential incapacitation or medical treatment. Ongoing military pressure, domestic protests, economic strain, and questions over effective control by the IRGC or interim structures continue to shape trader assessments of further leadership shifts by mid- or end-2026. Scheduled events such as Ali Khamenei's postponed funeral ceremonies in July could influence stability, while any escalation in conflict or verified health developments remain key variables for market resolution on de facto leadership changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volumen
$17,494,228Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei assumed power in March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli airstrikes in the ongoing 2026 Iran war. The Assembly of Experts formalized the transition amid regime-change efforts by Washington and Tel Aviv, with Mojtaba elevated despite limited public visibility and reports of his potential incapacitation or medical treatment. Ongoing military pressure, domestic protests, economic strain, and questions over effective control by the IRGC or interim structures continue to shape trader assessments of further leadership shifts by mid- or end-2026. Scheduled events such as Ali Khamenei's postponed funeral ceremonies in July could influence stability, while any escalation in conflict or verified health developments remain key variables for market resolution on de facto leadership changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$17,494,228Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei assumed power in March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli airstrikes in the ongoing 2026 Iran war. The Assembly of Experts formalized the transition amid regime-change efforts by Washington and Tel Aviv, with Mojtaba elevated despite limited public visibility and reports of his potential incapacitation or medical treatment. Ongoing military pressure, domestic protests, economic strain, and questions over effective control by the IRGC or interim structures continue to shape trader assessments of further leadership shifts by mid- or end-2026. Scheduled events such as Ali Khamenei's postponed funeral ceremonies in July could influence stability, while any escalation in conflict or verified health developments remain key variables for market resolution on de facto leadership changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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