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Política·Oriente Medio

¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?

icon for ¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?

NUEVO
16 jun 2026
Polymarket

$4,110 Vol.

Polymarket

15 de junio

$417 Vol.

6%

30 de junio

$3,694 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces advanced beyond the Litani River in May 2026 during intensified operations against Hezbollah, occupying positions up to the Zahrani River and strategic sites including Beaufort Castle. A U.S.-mediated agreement reached on June 3 between Israel and Lebanon conditions a full ceasefire on Hezbollah's complete withdrawal from areas south of the Litani and phased Israeli pullbacks via designated pilot zones under Lebanese army control. Hezbollah rejected the terms the following day, insisting on simultaneous full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon as a prerequisite. Israel has stated its operations will continue for now, with no immediate withdrawal announced. These developments, alongside ongoing strikes and enforcement of buffer requirements tied to UN Security Council Resolution 1701, shape trader assessments of near-term timelines for any Israeli pullback.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volumen
$4,110
Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces advanced beyond the Litani River in May 2026 during intensified operations against Hezbollah, occupying positions up to the Zahrani River and strategic sites including Beaufort Castle. A U.S.-mediated agreement reached on June 3 between Israel and Lebanon conditions a full ceasefire on Hezbollah's complete withdrawal from areas south of the Litani and phased Israeli pullbacks via designated pilot zones under Lebanese army control. Hezbollah rejected the terms the following day, insisting on simultaneous full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon as a prerequisite. Israel has stated its operations will continue for now, with no immediate withdrawal announced. These developments, alongside ongoing strikes and enforcement of buffer requirements tied to UN Security Council Resolution 1701, shape trader assessments of near-term timelines for any Israeli pullback.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volumen
$4,110
Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio" con 18%, seguido de "15 de junio" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 18¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 8, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?" es "30 de junio" con 18%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "15 de junio" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.