**Recent convictions have anchored trader expectations that former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol will remain in custody through the end of 2026.** A February 2026 Seoul court ruling found him guilty of insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration and imposed a life sentence, with immediate transfer to the Seoul Detention Center. On June 12, 2026, the same court added a 30-year term for ordering drone incursions over North Korea intended as a pretext for that declaration. Multiple additional proceedings remain active, and while appeals are underway or anticipated, South Korean procedure typically keeps defendants detained during review of serious national security and abuse-of-power cases. These cumulative sentences and procedural realities have produced the current 88.9% implied probability that release will not occur before December 31, 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Yoon fuera de custodia antes de 2027?
¿Yoon fuera de custodia antes de 2027?
Sí
$53,984 Vol.
$53,984 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$53,984 Vol.
$53,984 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent convictions have anchored trader expectations that former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol will remain in custody through the end of 2026.** A February 2026 Seoul court ruling found him guilty of insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration and imposed a life sentence, with immediate transfer to the Seoul Detention Center. On June 12, 2026, the same court added a 30-year term for ordering drone incursions over North Korea intended as a pretext for that declaration. Multiple additional proceedings remain active, and while appeals are underway or anticipated, South Korean procedure typically keeps defendants detained during review of serious national security and abuse-of-power cases. These cumulative sentences and procedural realities have produced the current 88.9% implied probability that release will not occur before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volumen
$53,984Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent convictions have anchored trader expectations that former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol will remain in custody through the end of 2026.** A February 2026 Seoul court ruling found him guilty of insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration and imposed a life sentence, with immediate transfer to the Seoul Detention Center. On June 12, 2026, the same court added a 30-year term for ordering drone incursions over North Korea intended as a pretext for that declaration. Multiple additional proceedings remain active, and while appeals are underway or anticipated, South Korean procedure typically keeps defendants detained during review of serious national security and abuse-of-power cases. These cumulative sentences and procedural realities have produced the current 88.9% implied probability that release will not occur before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$53,984Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent convictions have anchored trader expectations that former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol will remain in custody through the end of 2026.** A February 2026 Seoul court ruling found him guilty of insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration and imposed a life sentence, with immediate transfer to the Seoul Detention Center. On June 12, 2026, the same court added a 30-year term for ordering drone incursions over North Korea intended as a pretext for that declaration. Multiple additional proceedings remain active, and while appeals are underway or anticipated, South Korean procedure typically keeps defendants detained during review of serious national security and abuse-of-power cases. These cumulative sentences and procedural realities have produced the current 88.9% implied probability that release will not occur before December 31, 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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