**Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at Seoul Detention Center following his February 19, 2026, conviction and life sentence for leading an insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration.** A Seoul Central District Court ruled he orchestrated the unconstitutional deployment of troops to the National Assembly, with prosecutors having sought the death penalty. Separate proceedings produced additional convictions, including a seven-year term (increased on appeal in April 2026) for resisting arrest and related charges linked to the same events. These outcomes, combined with multiple ongoing trials and the severity of the insurrection ruling under South Korean law, create significant structural barriers to release. Life imprisonment in this context carries no realistic prospect of parole or executive clemency before 2027, and appeals have so far reinforced rather than overturned custody. As of mid-June 2026, no scheduled hearings, procedural developments, or political shifts have altered this trajectory, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 88.9% probability for “No.”
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Yoon fuera de custodia antes de 2027?
Sí
$53,984 Vol.
$53,984 Vol.
Sí
$53,984 Vol.
$53,984 Vol.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at Seoul Detention Center following his February 19, 2026, conviction and life sentence for leading an insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration.** A Seoul Central District Court ruled he orchestrated the unconstitutional deployment of troops to the National Assembly, with prosecutors having sought the death penalty. Separate proceedings produced additional convictions, including a seven-year term (increased on appeal in April 2026) for resisting arrest and related charges linked to the same events. These outcomes, combined with multiple ongoing trials and the severity of the insurrection ruling under South Korean law, create significant structural barriers to release. Life imprisonment in this context carries no realistic prospect of parole or executive clemency before 2027, and appeals have so far reinforced rather than overturned custody. As of mid-June 2026, no scheduled hearings, procedural developments, or political shifts have altered this trajectory, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 88.9% probability for “No.”
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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