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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin

Mandela Barnes 41%

Francesca Hong 36.7%

Zachary Roper 16.1%

Sara Rodríguez 10%

Polymarket

$52,197 Vol.

Mandela Barnes 41%

Francesca Hong 36.7%

Zachary Roper 16.1%

Sara Rodríguez 10%

Polymarket

$52,197 Vol.

Mandela Barnes

$8,797 Vol.

41%

Francesca Hong

$7,591 Vol.

37%

Zachary Roper

$1,625 Vol.

16%

Sara Rodríguez

$9,400 Vol.

10%

Kelda Roys

$2,212 Vol.

4%

David Crowley

$2,927 Vol.

1%

Tom Nelson

$1,615 Vol.

1%

Joel Brennan

$2,142 Vol.

1%

Melissa Agard

$2,178 Vol.

1%

Chris Larson

$8,613 Vol.

7%

Tim Jacobson

$1,771 Vol.

<1%

Brett Hulsey

$1,611 Vol.

<1%

Missy Hughes

$1,715 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus slightly favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 40.5% over state Rep. Francesca Hong at 36.7% in the wide-open August 11 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by Barnes' statewide name recognition from his narrow 2022 U.S. Senate loss and a recent prediction market surge amid sparse new polling. Hong's progressive momentum, reflected in February and March Marquette Law School surveys showing her leading decided voters and late-April campaign buzz, keeps the race neck-and-neck, with 65% undecideds and a fragmented field including Sen. Chris Larson (17.1%) amplifying uncertainty. Rivals question Hong's general election viability against Rep. Tom Tiffany, while Barnes faces electability scrutiny; upcoming endorsements, Q2 fundraising reports, and candidate forums on issues like data centers could tip the balance in this battleground primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$52,197
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus slightly favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 40.5% over state Rep. Francesca Hong at 36.7% in the wide-open August 11 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by Barnes' statewide name recognition from his narrow 2022 U.S. Senate loss and a recent prediction market surge amid sparse new polling. Hong's progressive momentum, reflected in February and March Marquette Law School surveys showing her leading decided voters and late-April campaign buzz, keeps the race neck-and-neck, with 65% undecideds and a fragmented field including Sen. Chris Larson (17.1%) amplifying uncertainty. Rivals question Hong's general election viability against Rep. Tom Tiffany, while Barnes faces electability scrutiny; upcoming endorsements, Q2 fundraising reports, and candidate forums on issues like data centers could tip the balance in this battleground primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$52,197
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mandela Barnes" con 41%, seguido de "Francesca Hong" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 41¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" ha generado $52.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" es "Mandela Barnes" con 41%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francesca Hong" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Wisconsin" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.