This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Maine Gov. Janet Mills suspended her U.S. Senate campaign on Thursday, clearing the path for oyster farmer and combat veteran Graham Platner to secure the Democratic nomination in the June 9 primary, driving his trader consensus to 98.2%. Platner had led recent Emerson and UNH polls by wide margins, outraised rivals, and garnered progressive endorsements like Sen. Elizabeth Warren's rally support, while portraying himself as a populist outsider against establishment figures. With other candidates like Reps. Chellie Pingree and Jared Golden trailing far behind, markets reflect minimal competition. Late-breaking scandals, a high-profile entrant, or legal challenges to candidacy could still shift odds before absentee voting accelerates.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Maine Gov. Janet Mills suspended her U.S. Senate campaign on Thursday, clearing the path for oyster farmer and combat veteran Graham Platner to secure the Democratic nomination in the June 9 primary, driving his trader consensus to 98.2%. Platner had led recent Emerson and UNH polls by wide margins, outraised rivals, and garnered progressive endorsements like Sen. Elizabeth Warren's rally support, while portraying himself as a populist outsider against establishment figures. With other candidates like Reps. Chellie Pingree and Jared Golden trailing far behind, markets reflect minimal competition. Late-breaking scandals, a high-profile entrant, or legal challenges to candidacy could still shift odds before absentee voting accelerates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 30 2026
Governor Janet Mills suspends her Senate campaign, consolidating support behind Graham Platner and further sidelining Wood's Senate chances
Governor Janet Mills suspends her Senate campaign, consolidating support behind Graham Platner and further sidelining Wood's Senate chances
Apr 25 2026
Platner holds a packed town hall in Damariscotta, accusing Democrats of trying to "destroy" his life but reaffirming his commitment to the race, demonstrating his defiant and
Graham Platner rises to 97%2%
Platner holds a packed town hall in Damariscotta, accusing Democrats of trying to "destroy" his life but reaffirming his commitment to the race, demonstrating his defiant and resilient campaign style
Apr 20 2026
Senator Ruben Gallego endorses Platner, marking a second Senate endorsement and signaling growing establishment progressive support despite Schumer backing Mills
Graham Platner rises to 95%2%
Senator Ruben Gallego endorses Platner, marking a second Senate endorsement and signaling growing establishment progressive support despite Schumer backing Mills
Apr 18 2026
Senator Elizabeth Warren endorses Platner at a rally in Portland, Maine, praising him as a fighter who can beat incumbent Susan Collins;
Graham Platner jumps to 93%13%
this high-profile endorsement boosts his credibility and support
Apr 17 2026
Platner announces plans to investigate Trump and impeach two Supreme Court justices if elected, signaling a strong progressive stance;
Graham Platner jumps to 80%5%
this energizes his base ahead of the primary
Apr 7 2026
Reports indicate Mills’ campaign momentum is fading with limited outside support and ineffective ad spending, as Platner maintains a strong lead heading into the primary
Janet Mills drops to 0%9%
Reports indicate Mills’ campaign momentum is fading with limited outside support and ineffective ad spending, as Platner maintains a strong lead heading into the primary
Mar 23 2026
Mills launches aggressive attack ads targeting Platner’s past controversial Reddit posts and tattoo, but the ads fail to significantly shift voter sentiment or polling in her favor
Janet Mills plunges to 9%15%
Mills launches aggressive attack ads targeting Platner’s past controversial Reddit posts and tattoo, but the ads fail to significantly shift voter sentiment or polling in her favor
Mar 19 2026
Senator Elizabeth Warren endorses Graham Platner over Mills, signaling establishment fractures and boosting Platner’s progressive support, further weakening Mills’ position
Janet Mills dips to 24%1%
Senator Elizabeth Warren endorses Graham Platner over Mills, signaling establishment fractures and boosting Platner’s progressive support, further weakening Mills’ position
Mar 17 2026
Mills launches first negative ad highlighting Platner's past sexist comments;
Graham Platner jumps to 75%9%
Platner responds with apologies and continues to hold a commanding lead in polls, showing voter forgiveness or acceptance
Mar 9 2026
Jordan Wood submits qualifying signatures for Maine's 2nd Congressional District primary, confirming his shift away from the Senate race
Jordan Wood dips to 0%1%
Jordan Wood submits qualifying signatures for Maine's 2nd Congressional District primary, confirming his shift away from the Senate race
Feb 27 2026
Analysis highlights Maine Senate race as highly competitive with strong candidates Janet Mills and Graham Platner leading the Democratic primary field, diminishing Wood's prospects
Analysis highlights Maine Senate race as highly competitive with strong candidates Janet Mills and Graham Platner leading the Democratic primary field, diminishing Wood's prospects
Feb 20 2026
Platner faces backlash for promoting an antisemitic conspiracy theorist but quickly removes the post;
Graham Platner jumps to 74%8%
his campaign remains resilient amid scrutiny, and he resumes active campaigning with town halls
Feb 1 2026
Age concerns resurface in media coverage, with Mills defending her fitness and contrasting herself with Joe Biden, while Platner’s youth and populist appeal gain traction among
Janet Mills drops to 22%12%
Age concerns resurface in media coverage, with Mills defending her fitness and contrasting herself with Joe Biden, while Platner’s youth and populist appeal gain traction among Democratic voters
Jan 14 2026
Mills issues a statement responding to federal ICE immigration enforcement operations in Maine, showing active leadership but also facing criticism for traveling out of state
Janet Mills dips to 32%1%
Mills issues a statement responding to federal ICE immigration enforcement operations in Maine, showing active leadership but also facing criticism for traveling out of state during the operation, which may have hurt her standing
Dec 12 2025
Mills touts a $190 million federal rural health care grant as a major achievement linked to her administration, attempting to bolster her profile against Platner’s insurgent
Janet Mills jumps to 40%10%
Mills touts a $190 million federal rural health care grant as a major achievement linked to her administration, attempting to bolster her profile against Platner’s insurgent campaign
Nov 12 2025
Democratic Senate hopeful Jordan Wood drops his Senate campaign and enters the race for Golden’s now‑vacant House seat, further confirming Golden’s exit eliminates any chance of
Democratic Senate hopeful Jordan Wood drops his Senate campaign and enters the race for Golden’s now‑vacant House seat, further confirming Golden’s exit eliminates any chance of his winning the primary
Nov 12 2025
Jordan Wood drops out of Maine Senate race to run for the 2nd Congressional District seat after Jared Golden's retirement announcement, citing better resource use in a less
Jordan Wood dips to 0%4%
Jordan Wood drops out of Maine Senate race to run for the 2nd Congressional District seat after Jared Golden's retirement announcement, citing better resource use in a less crowded primary
Nov 6 2025
Golden’s retirement “opens up” the competitive 2nd‑district seat, prompting analysts to say the Democratic primary is now a contest among other candidates, not Golden
Jared Golden drops to 0%10%
Golden’s retirement “opens up” the competitive 2nd‑district seat, prompting analysts to say the Democratic primary is now a contest among other candidates, not Golden
Nov 5 2025
Progressive Change Campaign Committee endorses Platner, releasing a poll showing him leading Mills by 20 points despite controversies, reinforcing his viability as the Democratic
Graham Platner jumps to 64%8%
Progressive Change Campaign Committee endorses Platner, releasing a poll showing him leading Mills by 20 points despite controversies, reinforcing his viability as the Democratic nominee
Nov 5 2025
Jared Golden announces he will not seek re‑election to the U.S.
Jared Golden plunges to 10%40%
House, ending his bid for a fifth term
Oct 23 2025
Despite negative headlines, Platner's grassroots campaign draws huge crowds and maintains strong polling leads;
Graham Platner surges to 56%25%
Democrats remain reluctant to criticize him publicly, reflecting his growing support base
Oct 16 2025
Inflammatory online posts by Platner surface, including controversial Reddit comments and a tattoo resembling Nazi imagery;
Graham Platner jumps to 42%8%
Platner apologizes and covers the tattoo, but polling still shows him leading Mills by a wide margin in a University of New Hampshire survey conducted Oct 16-21
Oct 16 2025
Polls show Graham Platner leading Mills by a large margin despite controversies, with Platner’s grassroots momentum and Mills’ establishment backing creating a competitive dynamic;
Janet Mills plunges to 40%15%
Platner’s scandals do not significantly dent his lead
Oct 15 2025
Dan Kleban, a prominent Maine Democrat, drops out and endorses Mills, consolidating some party support, but Platner and other candidates remain in the race, limiting Mills’
Janet Mills drops to 31%9%
Dan Kleban, a prominent Maine Democrat, drops out and endorses Mills, consolidating some party support, but Platner and other candidates remain in the race, limiting Mills’ advantage
Oct 15 2025
Dan Kleban suspends his Senate campaign and endorses Gov.
Mills, citing timing and the governor’s stronger position, driving his market
Oct 14 2025
Janet Mills officially announces her 2026 U.S.
Janet Mills jumps to 55%13%
Senate campaign, gaining immediate national Democratic support and raising $1 million in 24 hours, boosting her initial market confidence
Oct 14 2025
Maine Governor Janet Mills announces her Senate bid, instantly reshaping the Democratic field and prompting speculation that lesser‑known candidates will drop out
Maine Governor Janet Mills announces her Senate bid, instantly reshaping the Democratic field and prompting speculation that lesser‑known candidates will drop out
Sep 15 2025
Kleban, co‑founder of Maine Beer Company, officially launches a Senate campaign emphasizing an “outsider” message and cost‑of‑living issues
Dan Kleban plunges to 12%38%
Kleban, co‑founder of Maine Beer Company, officially launches a Senate campaign emphasizing an “outsider” message and cost‑of‑living issues
Sep 15 2025
Reports emerge that Janet Mills is considering a 2026 Senate run, with Democratic leaders actively recruiting her to challenge Susan Collins, raising early expectations for her
Janet Mills dips to 47%3%
Reports emerge that Janet Mills is considering a 2026 Senate run, with Democratic leaders actively recruiting her to challenge Susan Collins, raising early expectations for her candidacy
Sep 15 2025
Jordan Wood announces candidacy for Maine U.S.
Senate seat, becoming the first Democrat to enter the race
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Maine Gov. Janet Mills suspended her U.S. Senate campaign on Thursday, clearing the path for oyster farmer and combat veteran Graham Platner to secure the Democratic nomination in the June 9 primary, driving his trader consensus to 98.2%. Platner had led recent Emerson and UNH polls by wide margins, outraised rivals, and garnered progressive endorsements like Sen. Elizabeth Warren's rally support, while portraying himself as a populist outsider against establishment figures. With other candidates like Reps. Chellie Pingree and Jared Golden trailing far behind, markets reflect minimal competition. Late-breaking scandals, a high-profile entrant, or legal challenges to candidacy could still shift odds before absentee voting accelerates.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Maine Gov. Janet Mills suspended her U.S. Senate campaign on Thursday, clearing the path for oyster farmer and combat veteran Graham Platner to secure the Democratic nomination in the June 9 primary, driving his trader consensus to 98.2%. Platner had led recent Emerson and UNH polls by wide margins, outraised rivals, and garnered progressive endorsements like Sen. Elizabeth Warren's rally support, while portraying himself as a populist outsider against establishment figures. With other candidates like Reps. Chellie Pingree and Jared Golden trailing far behind, markets reflect minimal competition. Late-breaking scandals, a high-profile entrant, or legal challenges to candidacy could still shift odds before absentee voting accelerates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 30 2026
Governor Janet Mills suspends her Senate campaign, consolidating support behind Graham Platner and further sidelining Wood's Senate chances
Governor Janet Mills suspends her Senate campaign, consolidating support behind Graham Platner and further sidelining Wood's Senate chances
Apr 25 2026
Platner holds a packed town hall in Damariscotta, accusing Democrats of trying to "destroy" his life but reaffirming his commitment to the race, demonstrating his defiant and
Graham Platner rises to 97%2%
Platner holds a packed town hall in Damariscotta, accusing Democrats of trying to "destroy" his life but reaffirming his commitment to the race, demonstrating his defiant and resilient campaign style
Apr 20 2026
Senator Ruben Gallego endorses Platner, marking a second Senate endorsement and signaling growing establishment progressive support despite Schumer backing Mills
Graham Platner rises to 95%2%
Senator Ruben Gallego endorses Platner, marking a second Senate endorsement and signaling growing establishment progressive support despite Schumer backing Mills
Apr 18 2026
Senator Elizabeth Warren endorses Platner at a rally in Portland, Maine, praising him as a fighter who can beat incumbent Susan Collins;
Graham Platner jumps to 93%13%
this high-profile endorsement boosts his credibility and support
Apr 17 2026
Platner announces plans to investigate Trump and impeach two Supreme Court justices if elected, signaling a strong progressive stance;
Graham Platner jumps to 80%5%
this energizes his base ahead of the primary
Apr 7 2026
Reports indicate Mills’ campaign momentum is fading with limited outside support and ineffective ad spending, as Platner maintains a strong lead heading into the primary
Janet Mills drops to 0%9%
Reports indicate Mills’ campaign momentum is fading with limited outside support and ineffective ad spending, as Platner maintains a strong lead heading into the primary
Mar 23 2026
Mills launches aggressive attack ads targeting Platner’s past controversial Reddit posts and tattoo, but the ads fail to significantly shift voter sentiment or polling in her favor
Janet Mills plunges to 9%15%
Mills launches aggressive attack ads targeting Platner’s past controversial Reddit posts and tattoo, but the ads fail to significantly shift voter sentiment or polling in her favor
Mar 19 2026
Senator Elizabeth Warren endorses Graham Platner over Mills, signaling establishment fractures and boosting Platner’s progressive support, further weakening Mills’ position
Janet Mills dips to 24%1%
Senator Elizabeth Warren endorses Graham Platner over Mills, signaling establishment fractures and boosting Platner’s progressive support, further weakening Mills’ position
Mar 17 2026
Mills launches first negative ad highlighting Platner's past sexist comments;
Graham Platner jumps to 75%9%
Platner responds with apologies and continues to hold a commanding lead in polls, showing voter forgiveness or acceptance
Mar 9 2026
Jordan Wood submits qualifying signatures for Maine's 2nd Congressional District primary, confirming his shift away from the Senate race
Jordan Wood dips to 0%1%
Jordan Wood submits qualifying signatures for Maine's 2nd Congressional District primary, confirming his shift away from the Senate race
Feb 27 2026
Analysis highlights Maine Senate race as highly competitive with strong candidates Janet Mills and Graham Platner leading the Democratic primary field, diminishing Wood's prospects
Analysis highlights Maine Senate race as highly competitive with strong candidates Janet Mills and Graham Platner leading the Democratic primary field, diminishing Wood's prospects
Feb 20 2026
Platner faces backlash for promoting an antisemitic conspiracy theorist but quickly removes the post;
Graham Platner jumps to 74%8%
his campaign remains resilient amid scrutiny, and he resumes active campaigning with town halls
Feb 1 2026
Age concerns resurface in media coverage, with Mills defending her fitness and contrasting herself with Joe Biden, while Platner’s youth and populist appeal gain traction among
Janet Mills drops to 22%12%
Age concerns resurface in media coverage, with Mills defending her fitness and contrasting herself with Joe Biden, while Platner’s youth and populist appeal gain traction among Democratic voters
Jan 14 2026
Mills issues a statement responding to federal ICE immigration enforcement operations in Maine, showing active leadership but also facing criticism for traveling out of state
Janet Mills dips to 32%1%
Mills issues a statement responding to federal ICE immigration enforcement operations in Maine, showing active leadership but also facing criticism for traveling out of state during the operation, which may have hurt her standing
Dec 12 2025
Mills touts a $190 million federal rural health care grant as a major achievement linked to her administration, attempting to bolster her profile against Platner’s insurgent
Janet Mills jumps to 40%10%
Mills touts a $190 million federal rural health care grant as a major achievement linked to her administration, attempting to bolster her profile against Platner’s insurgent campaign
Nov 12 2025
Democratic Senate hopeful Jordan Wood drops his Senate campaign and enters the race for Golden’s now‑vacant House seat, further confirming Golden’s exit eliminates any chance of
Democratic Senate hopeful Jordan Wood drops his Senate campaign and enters the race for Golden’s now‑vacant House seat, further confirming Golden’s exit eliminates any chance of his winning the primary
Nov 12 2025
Jordan Wood drops out of Maine Senate race to run for the 2nd Congressional District seat after Jared Golden's retirement announcement, citing better resource use in a less
Jordan Wood dips to 0%4%
Jordan Wood drops out of Maine Senate race to run for the 2nd Congressional District seat after Jared Golden's retirement announcement, citing better resource use in a less crowded primary
Nov 6 2025
Golden’s retirement “opens up” the competitive 2nd‑district seat, prompting analysts to say the Democratic primary is now a contest among other candidates, not Golden
Jared Golden drops to 0%10%
Golden’s retirement “opens up” the competitive 2nd‑district seat, prompting analysts to say the Democratic primary is now a contest among other candidates, not Golden
Nov 5 2025
Progressive Change Campaign Committee endorses Platner, releasing a poll showing him leading Mills by 20 points despite controversies, reinforcing his viability as the Democratic
Graham Platner jumps to 64%8%
Progressive Change Campaign Committee endorses Platner, releasing a poll showing him leading Mills by 20 points despite controversies, reinforcing his viability as the Democratic nominee
Nov 5 2025
Jared Golden announces he will not seek re‑election to the U.S.
Jared Golden plunges to 10%40%
House, ending his bid for a fifth term
Oct 23 2025
Despite negative headlines, Platner's grassroots campaign draws huge crowds and maintains strong polling leads;
Graham Platner surges to 56%25%
Democrats remain reluctant to criticize him publicly, reflecting his growing support base
Oct 16 2025
Inflammatory online posts by Platner surface, including controversial Reddit comments and a tattoo resembling Nazi imagery;
Graham Platner jumps to 42%8%
Platner apologizes and covers the tattoo, but polling still shows him leading Mills by a wide margin in a University of New Hampshire survey conducted Oct 16-21
Oct 16 2025
Polls show Graham Platner leading Mills by a large margin despite controversies, with Platner’s grassroots momentum and Mills’ establishment backing creating a competitive dynamic;
Janet Mills plunges to 40%15%
Platner’s scandals do not significantly dent his lead
Oct 15 2025
Dan Kleban, a prominent Maine Democrat, drops out and endorses Mills, consolidating some party support, but Platner and other candidates remain in the race, limiting Mills’
Janet Mills drops to 31%9%
Dan Kleban, a prominent Maine Democrat, drops out and endorses Mills, consolidating some party support, but Platner and other candidates remain in the race, limiting Mills’ advantage
Oct 15 2025
Dan Kleban suspends his Senate campaign and endorses Gov.
Mills, citing timing and the governor’s stronger position, driving his market
Oct 14 2025
Janet Mills officially announces her 2026 U.S.
Janet Mills jumps to 55%13%
Senate campaign, gaining immediate national Democratic support and raising $1 million in 24 hours, boosting her initial market confidence
Oct 14 2025
Maine Governor Janet Mills announces her Senate bid, instantly reshaping the Democratic field and prompting speculation that lesser‑known candidates will drop out
Maine Governor Janet Mills announces her Senate bid, instantly reshaping the Democratic field and prompting speculation that lesser‑known candidates will drop out
Sep 15 2025
Kleban, co‑founder of Maine Beer Company, officially launches a Senate campaign emphasizing an “outsider” message and cost‑of‑living issues
Dan Kleban plunges to 12%38%
Kleban, co‑founder of Maine Beer Company, officially launches a Senate campaign emphasizing an “outsider” message and cost‑of‑living issues
Sep 15 2025
Reports emerge that Janet Mills is considering a 2026 Senate run, with Democratic leaders actively recruiting her to challenge Susan Collins, raising early expectations for her
Janet Mills dips to 47%3%
Reports emerge that Janet Mills is considering a 2026 Senate run, with Democratic leaders actively recruiting her to challenge Susan Collins, raising early expectations for her candidacy
Sep 15 2025
Jordan Wood announces candidacy for Maine U.S.
Senate seat, becoming the first Democrat to enter the race
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Título del ítem del grupo: Graham Platner" con 98%, seguido de "Janet Mills" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" ha generado $2.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Sep 15, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" es "Título del ítem del grupo: Graham Platner" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Janet Mills" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $2.8 million operados en “Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 98¢ para "Título del ítem del grupo: Graham Platner" en el mercado "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 98% de que "Título del ítem del grupo: Graham Platner" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 98¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 2¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Jun 9, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine" tiene una comunidad activa de 36 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de Maine". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes