Recent polls for Israel's October 2026 Knesset election show Likud consistently projected in the low-to-mid 20s, often as the single largest party but with its broader right-religious bloc short of the 61-seat majority needed to govern. This positioning stems from voter fatigue with the incumbent coalition amid prolonged security challenges, internal tensions over issues like military draft exemptions for ultra-Orthodox parties, and the April 2026 merger of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid into the "Together" slate, which has consolidated centrist and right-leaning opposition support near Likud's levels. Developments such as fluctuating coalition partner performance (Shas, UTJ, Religious Zionism, Otzma Yehudit) and occasional opposition gains from figures like Gadi Eisenkot keep the race fluid, with no side securing a decisive edge in recent surveys. Trader consensus around 20-29 seats aligns with these averages while reflecting uncertainty over whether late-campaign shifts, budget deadlines, or escalation in regional conflicts could alter turnout or bloc alignments before the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIsrael Election: Likud # of seats?
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
25-29 34%
20-24 28%
30-34 19%
<20 14.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 oct 2026
<20
14%
20-24
28%
25-29
34%
30-34
19%
35+
10%
25-29 34%
20-24 28%
30-34 19%
<20 14.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 oct 2026
<20
$3,750 Vol.
14%
20-24
$353 Vol.
28%
25-29
$328 Vol.
34%
30-34
$512 Vol.
19%
35+
$331 Vol.
10%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel's October 2026 Knesset election show Likud consistently projected in the low-to-mid 20s, often as the single largest party but with its broader right-religious bloc short of the 61-seat majority needed to govern. This positioning stems from voter fatigue with the incumbent coalition amid prolonged security challenges, internal tensions over issues like military draft exemptions for ultra-Orthodox parties, and the April 2026 merger of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid into the "Together" slate, which has consolidated centrist and right-leaning opposition support near Likud's levels. Developments such as fluctuating coalition partner performance (Shas, UTJ, Religious Zionism, Otzma Yehudit) and occasional opposition gains from figures like Gadi Eisenkot keep the race fluid, with no side securing a decisive edge in recent surveys. Trader consensus around 20-29 seats aligns with these averages while reflecting uncertainty over whether late-campaign shifts, budget deadlines, or escalation in regional conflicts could alter turnout or bloc alignments before the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volumen
$5,275Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel's October 2026 Knesset election show Likud consistently projected in the low-to-mid 20s, often as the single largest party but with its broader right-religious bloc short of the 61-seat majority needed to govern. This positioning stems from voter fatigue with the incumbent coalition amid prolonged security challenges, internal tensions over issues like military draft exemptions for ultra-Orthodox parties, and the April 2026 merger of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid into the "Together" slate, which has consolidated centrist and right-leaning opposition support near Likud's levels. Developments such as fluctuating coalition partner performance (Shas, UTJ, Religious Zionism, Otzma Yehudit) and occasional opposition gains from figures like Gadi Eisenkot keep the race fluid, with no side securing a decisive edge in recent surveys. Trader consensus around 20-29 seats aligns with these averages while reflecting uncertainty over whether late-campaign shifts, budget deadlines, or escalation in regional conflicts could alter turnout or bloc alignments before the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$5,275Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Israel's October 2026 Knesset election show Likud consistently projected in the low-to-mid 20s, often as the single largest party but with its broader right-religious bloc short of the 61-seat majority needed to govern. This positioning stems from voter fatigue with the incumbent coalition amid prolonged security challenges, internal tensions over issues like military draft exemptions for ultra-Orthodox parties, and the April 2026 merger of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid into the "Together" slate, which has consolidated centrist and right-leaning opposition support near Likud's levels. Developments such as fluctuating coalition partner performance (Shas, UTJ, Religious Zionism, Otzma Yehudit) and occasional opposition gains from figures like Gadi Eisenkot keep the race fluid, with no side securing a decisive edge in recent surveys. Trader consensus around 20-29 seats aligns with these averages while reflecting uncertainty over whether late-campaign shifts, budget deadlines, or escalation in regional conflicts could alter turnout or bloc alignments before the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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