Ciro Gomes holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race, driven by consistent first-round polling advantages of roughly 10–15 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). Recent surveys from Ipsos-Ipec, Datafolha, and Paraná Pesquisas through early June show Gomes at 44–47 percent support, reflecting his prior tenure as governor, broad regional name recognition, and decision to forgo a presidential bid in favor of the state contest. Elmano de Freitas trails as the reelection candidate amid standard incumbent challenges in a state with shifting voter preferences. Lower-priced names such as Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, and Eduardo Girão register minimal polling traction, consistent with their limited current momentum ahead of the first-round vote. Traders price in a likely runoff scenario favoring Gomes based on these trends and historical patterns in Ceará elections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 76%
Elmano de Freitas 15%
Camilo Santana 2.4%
Roberto Cláudio 1.3%
$75,092 Vol.
$75,092 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Ciro Gomes
76%
Elmano de Freitas
15%
Camilo Santana
2%
Roberto Cláudio
1%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 76%
Elmano de Freitas 15%
Camilo Santana 2.4%
Roberto Cláudio 1.3%
$75,092 Vol.
$75,092 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Ciro Gomes
$43,996 Vol.
76%
Elmano de Freitas
$10,851 Vol.
15%
Camilo Santana
$4,586 Vol.
2%
Roberto Cláudio
$4,208 Vol.
1%
Eduardo Girão
$5,159 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$6,293 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race, driven by consistent first-round polling advantages of roughly 10–15 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). Recent surveys from Ipsos-Ipec, Datafolha, and Paraná Pesquisas through early June show Gomes at 44–47 percent support, reflecting his prior tenure as governor, broad regional name recognition, and decision to forgo a presidential bid in favor of the state contest. Elmano de Freitas trails as the reelection candidate amid standard incumbent challenges in a state with shifting voter preferences. Lower-priced names such as Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, and Eduardo Girão register minimal polling traction, consistent with their limited current momentum ahead of the first-round vote. Traders price in a likely runoff scenario favoring Gomes based on these trends and historical patterns in Ceará elections.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volumen
$75,092Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race, driven by consistent first-round polling advantages of roughly 10–15 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). Recent surveys from Ipsos-Ipec, Datafolha, and Paraná Pesquisas through early June show Gomes at 44–47 percent support, reflecting his prior tenure as governor, broad regional name recognition, and decision to forgo a presidential bid in favor of the state contest. Elmano de Freitas trails as the reelection candidate amid standard incumbent challenges in a state with shifting voter preferences. Lower-priced names such as Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, and Eduardo Girão register minimal polling traction, consistent with their limited current momentum ahead of the first-round vote. Traders price in a likely runoff scenario favoring Gomes based on these trends and historical patterns in Ceará elections.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$75,092Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race, driven by consistent first-round polling advantages of roughly 10–15 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). Recent surveys from Ipsos-Ipec, Datafolha, and Paraná Pesquisas through early June show Gomes at 44–47 percent support, reflecting his prior tenure as governor, broad regional name recognition, and decision to forgo a presidential bid in favor of the state contest. Elmano de Freitas trails as the reelection candidate amid standard incumbent challenges in a state with shifting voter preferences. Lower-priced names such as Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, and Eduardo Girão register minimal polling traction, consistent with their limited current momentum ahead of the first-round vote. Traders price in a likely runoff scenario favoring Gomes based on these trends and historical patterns in Ceará elections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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