Recent polls, including Quaest (April 24-28) and Paraná Pesquisas (late March), position Ciro Gomes as the first-round frontrunner with 41-47% voting intentions for the October 4 Ceará gubernatorial election, ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas at 32-39%, driving his 50% trader consensus as the leading outcome. Elmano benefits from PT machinery and potential Lula backing but trails in multi-candidate scenarios amid voter fragmentation. Right-wing Eduardo Girão (19.6%) and Capitão Wagner (14.8%) consolidate conservative votes, while low odds for Camilo Santana (2.7%) and Roberto Cláudio (0.7%) reflect limited momentum despite tested strength in head-to-heads. Ciro's impending decision on a presidential bid and PL coalition support could shift dynamics ahead of possible runoff on October 25.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 48%
Elmano de Freitas 32%
Eduardo Girão 19.3%
Capitão Wagner 7.4%
$15,076 Vol.
$15,076 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Ciro Gomes
48%
Elmano de Freitas
32%
Eduardo Girão
19%
Capitão Wagner
14%
Camilo Santana
3%
Roberto Cláudio
1%
Ciro Gomes 48%
Elmano de Freitas 32%
Eduardo Girão 19.3%
Capitão Wagner 7.4%
$15,076 Vol.
$15,076 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Ciro Gomes
$10,163 Vol.
48%
Elmano de Freitas
$2,076 Vol.
32%
Eduardo Girão
$615 Vol.
19%
Capitão Wagner
$987 Vol.
14%
Camilo Santana
$824 Vol.
3%
Roberto Cláudio
$411 Vol.
1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls, including Quaest (April 24-28) and Paraná Pesquisas (late March), position Ciro Gomes as the first-round frontrunner with 41-47% voting intentions for the October 4 Ceará gubernatorial election, ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas at 32-39%, driving his 50% trader consensus as the leading outcome. Elmano benefits from PT machinery and potential Lula backing but trails in multi-candidate scenarios amid voter fragmentation. Right-wing Eduardo Girão (19.6%) and Capitão Wagner (14.8%) consolidate conservative votes, while low odds for Camilo Santana (2.7%) and Roberto Cláudio (0.7%) reflect limited momentum despite tested strength in head-to-heads. Ciro's impending decision on a presidential bid and PL coalition support could shift dynamics ahead of possible runoff on October 25.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volumen
$15,076Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls, including Quaest (April 24-28) and Paraná Pesquisas (late March), position Ciro Gomes as the first-round frontrunner with 41-47% voting intentions for the October 4 Ceará gubernatorial election, ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas at 32-39%, driving his 50% trader consensus as the leading outcome. Elmano benefits from PT machinery and potential Lula backing but trails in multi-candidate scenarios amid voter fragmentation. Right-wing Eduardo Girão (19.6%) and Capitão Wagner (14.8%) consolidate conservative votes, while low odds for Camilo Santana (2.7%) and Roberto Cláudio (0.7%) reflect limited momentum despite tested strength in head-to-heads. Ciro's impending decision on a presidential bid and PL coalition support could shift dynamics ahead of possible runoff on October 25.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$15,076Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including Quaest (April 24-28) and Paraná Pesquisas (late March), position Ciro Gomes as the first-round frontrunner with 41-47% voting intentions for the October 4 Ceará gubernatorial election, ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas at 32-39%, driving his 50% trader consensus as the leading outcome. Elmano benefits from PT machinery and potential Lula backing but trails in multi-candidate scenarios amid voter fragmentation. Right-wing Eduardo Girão (19.6%) and Capitão Wagner (14.8%) consolidate conservative votes, while low odds for Camilo Santana (2.7%) and Roberto Cláudio (0.7%) reflect limited momentum despite tested strength in head-to-heads. Ciro's impending decision on a presidential bid and PL coalition support could shift dynamics ahead of possible runoff on October 25.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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