Cleitinho Azevedo holds a commanding lead in the Minas Gerais governor race due to consistent first-round polling strength of 30-45% across recent surveys from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others, plus decisive head-to-head margins exceeding 40% in runoffs. His position as Republicanos senator, evangelical appeal, and viral direct messaging have consolidated conservative support ahead of the October 2026 vote. A May alliance between his party and the PL has further bolstered his prospects by sidelining continuity candidate Mateus Simões. Trailing contenders like Alexandre Kalil, Rodrigo Pacheco, and Gabriel Azevedo register single-digit to low-teen shares amid fragmented opposition and no unified challenge, aligning trader pricing with the absence of major late shifts in candidate declarations or alliances as of mid-June.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMinas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho Azevedo 68%
Gabriel Azevedo 9.3%
Alexandre Kalil 9.3%
Rodrigo Pacheco 9%
$58,851 Vol.
$58,851 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
68%
Gabriel Azevedo
9%
Alexandre Kalil
9%
Rodrigo Pacheco
9%
Mateus Simões
4%
Benoni Mendes
4%
Nikolas Ferreira
1%
Aécio Neves
1%
Tadeu Leite
<1%
Alexandre Silveira
<1%
Cleitinho Azevedo 68%
Gabriel Azevedo 9.3%
Alexandre Kalil 9.3%
Rodrigo Pacheco 9%
$58,851 Vol.
$58,851 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
$13,755 Vol.
68%
Gabriel Azevedo
$2,512 Vol.
9%
Alexandre Kalil
$14,677 Vol.
9%
Rodrigo Pacheco
$14,907 Vol.
9%
Mateus Simões
$1,575 Vol.
4%
Benoni Mendes
$2,347 Vol.
4%
Nikolas Ferreira
$3,830 Vol.
1%
Aécio Neves
$1,603 Vol.
1%
Tadeu Leite
$2,402 Vol.
<1%
Alexandre Silveira
$1,242 Vol.
<1%
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo holds a commanding lead in the Minas Gerais governor race due to consistent first-round polling strength of 30-45% across recent surveys from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others, plus decisive head-to-head margins exceeding 40% in runoffs. His position as Republicanos senator, evangelical appeal, and viral direct messaging have consolidated conservative support ahead of the October 2026 vote. A May alliance between his party and the PL has further bolstered his prospects by sidelining continuity candidate Mateus Simões. Trailing contenders like Alexandre Kalil, Rodrigo Pacheco, and Gabriel Azevedo register single-digit to low-teen shares amid fragmented opposition and no unified challenge, aligning trader pricing with the absence of major late shifts in candidate declarations or alliances as of mid-June.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volumen
$58,851Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo holds a commanding lead in the Minas Gerais governor race due to consistent first-round polling strength of 30-45% across recent surveys from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others, plus decisive head-to-head margins exceeding 40% in runoffs. His position as Republicanos senator, evangelical appeal, and viral direct messaging have consolidated conservative support ahead of the October 2026 vote. A May alliance between his party and the PL has further bolstered his prospects by sidelining continuity candidate Mateus Simões. Trailing contenders like Alexandre Kalil, Rodrigo Pacheco, and Gabriel Azevedo register single-digit to low-teen shares amid fragmented opposition and no unified challenge, aligning trader pricing with the absence of major late shifts in candidate declarations or alliances as of mid-June.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$58,851Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleitinho Azevedo holds a commanding lead in the Minas Gerais governor race due to consistent first-round polling strength of 30-45% across recent surveys from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others, plus decisive head-to-head margins exceeding 40% in runoffs. His position as Republicanos senator, evangelical appeal, and viral direct messaging have consolidated conservative support ahead of the October 2026 vote. A May alliance between his party and the PL has further bolstered his prospects by sidelining continuity candidate Mateus Simões. Trailing contenders like Alexandre Kalil, Rodrigo Pacheco, and Gabriel Azevedo register single-digit to low-teen shares amid fragmented opposition and no unified challenge, aligning trader pricing with the absence of major late shifts in candidate declarations or alliances as of mid-June.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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