Recent polls underpin trader consensus positioning ACM Neto (52.5%) as frontrunner to win Bahia's October 4, 2026, gubernatorial election, leading incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (33.5%) in this PT stronghold after two decades of dominance. Quaest's April 23-27 survey shows a technical tie at 41-37%, but Veritá's concurrent poll gives Neto a 48-36% edge in total votes, bolstered by his lower rejection rate (22% vs. Jerônimo's 47%) and alliances including PL support from Flávio Bolsonaro and Partido Novo. José Carlos Aleluia (7%) and Kleber Rosa (4.5%) trail as fragmented challengers, with negligible odds for João Roma, Bruno Soares Reis, and Rui Costa reflecting minimal polling support. A first-round majority or runoff looms in this tight duel.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBahia Governor Election Winner
Bahia Governor Election Winner
ACM Neto 53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 28%
José Carlos Aleluia 7.0%
Kleber Rosa 4.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
ACM Neto
53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
36%
José Carlos Aleluia
7%
Kleber Rosa
5%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
ACM Neto 53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 28%
José Carlos Aleluia 7.0%
Kleber Rosa 4.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
ACM Neto
$1,371 Vol.
53%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$609 Vol.
36%
José Carlos Aleluia
$1,218 Vol.
7%
Kleber Rosa
$617 Vol.
5%
João Roma
$324 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$324 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$488 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls underpin trader consensus positioning ACM Neto (52.5%) as frontrunner to win Bahia's October 4, 2026, gubernatorial election, leading incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (33.5%) in this PT stronghold after two decades of dominance. Quaest's April 23-27 survey shows a technical tie at 41-37%, but Veritá's concurrent poll gives Neto a 48-36% edge in total votes, bolstered by his lower rejection rate (22% vs. Jerônimo's 47%) and alliances including PL support from Flávio Bolsonaro and Partido Novo. José Carlos Aleluia (7%) and Kleber Rosa (4.5%) trail as fragmented challengers, with negligible odds for João Roma, Bruno Soares Reis, and Rui Costa reflecting minimal polling support. A first-round majority or runoff looms in this tight duel.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volumen
$4,952Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls underpin trader consensus positioning ACM Neto (52.5%) as frontrunner to win Bahia's October 4, 2026, gubernatorial election, leading incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (33.5%) in this PT stronghold after two decades of dominance. Quaest's April 23-27 survey shows a technical tie at 41-37%, but Veritá's concurrent poll gives Neto a 48-36% edge in total votes, bolstered by his lower rejection rate (22% vs. Jerônimo's 47%) and alliances including PL support from Flávio Bolsonaro and Partido Novo. José Carlos Aleluia (7%) and Kleber Rosa (4.5%) trail as fragmented challengers, with negligible odds for João Roma, Bruno Soares Reis, and Rui Costa reflecting minimal polling support. A first-round majority or runoff looms in this tight duel.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$4,952Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls underpin trader consensus positioning ACM Neto (52.5%) as frontrunner to win Bahia's October 4, 2026, gubernatorial election, leading incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (33.5%) in this PT stronghold after two decades of dominance. Quaest's April 23-27 survey shows a technical tie at 41-37%, but Veritá's concurrent poll gives Neto a 48-36% edge in total votes, bolstered by his lower rejection rate (22% vs. Jerônimo's 47%) and alliances including PL support from Flávio Bolsonaro and Partido Novo. José Carlos Aleluia (7%) and Kleber Rosa (4.5%) trail as fragmented challengers, with negligible odds for João Roma, Bruno Soares Reis, and Rui Costa reflecting minimal polling support. A first-round majority or runoff looms in this tight duel.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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