Recent YouGov MRP polls from April 28 project Reform UK topping vote shares across all 13 West Midlands councils and making major gains in London boroughs, fueling trader consensus at 96% implied probability for Reform securing the most council seats on May 7 among English metropolitan boroughs, unitary authorities, counties, and districts. National voting intention surveys, including YouGov's April 26-27 data showing Reform at 26% ahead of Conservatives (19%) and Labour (18%), reflect voter shifts in northern boroughs and rural areas amid dissatisfaction with Labour's incumbency after defending over half of contested seats from 2022 cycles. Greens trail at 15% with urban gains, while projections forecast Reform netting over 1,300 seats versus Labour's 1,850 losses. Late scandals, tactical voting, or turnout swings in Reform heartlands could challenge this lead before resolution via official council results.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones locales de 2026 en el Reino Unido: Ganador del partido
Elecciones locales de 2026 en el Reino Unido: Ganador del partido
Reform 96.0%
Green 2.6%
Labour 1.3%
Liberal Democrats <1%
$122,040 Vol.
$122,040 Vol.
7 may 2026
Reform
96%
Green
3%
Labour
1%
Liberal Democrats
<1%
Conservative
<1%
Reform 96.0%
Green 2.6%
Labour 1.3%
Liberal Democrats <1%
$122,040 Vol.
$122,040 Vol.
7 may 2026
Reform
$49,582 Vol.
96%
Green
$28,909 Vol.
3%
Labour
$23,568 Vol.
1%
Liberal Democrats
$7,661 Vol.
<1%
Conservative
$12,323 Vol.
<1%
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant council seat elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Recent YouGov MRP polls from April 28 project Reform UK topping vote shares across all 13 West Midlands councils and making major gains in London boroughs, fueling trader consensus at 96% implied probability for Reform securing the most council seats on May 7 among English metropolitan boroughs, unitary authorities, counties, and districts. National voting intention surveys, including YouGov's April 26-27 data showing Reform at 26% ahead of Conservatives (19%) and Labour (18%), reflect voter shifts in northern boroughs and rural areas amid dissatisfaction with Labour's incumbency after defending over half of contested seats from 2022 cycles. Greens trail at 15% with urban gains, while projections forecast Reform netting over 1,300 seats versus Labour's 1,850 losses. Late scandals, tactical voting, or turnout swings in Reform heartlands could challenge this lead before resolution via official council results.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant council seat elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant council seat elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$122,040Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant council seat elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Recent YouGov MRP polls from April 28 project Reform UK topping vote shares across all 13 West Midlands councils and making major gains in London boroughs, fueling trader consensus at 96% implied probability for Reform securing the most council seats on May 7 among English metropolitan boroughs, unitary authorities, counties, and districts. National voting intention surveys, including YouGov's April 26-27 data showing Reform at 26% ahead of Conservatives (19%) and Labour (18%), reflect voter shifts in northern boroughs and rural areas amid dissatisfaction with Labour's incumbency after defending over half of contested seats from 2022 cycles. Greens trail at 15% with urban gains, while projections forecast Reform netting over 1,300 seats versus Labour's 1,850 losses. Late scandals, tactical voting, or turnout swings in Reform heartlands could challenge this lead before resolution via official council results.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant council seat elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant council seat elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Volumen
$122,040Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent YouGov MRP polls from April 28 project Reform UK topping vote shares across all 13 West Midlands councils and making major gains in London boroughs, fueling trader consensus at 96% implied probability for Reform securing the most council seats on May 7 among English metropolitan boroughs, unitary authorities, counties, and districts. National voting intention surveys, including YouGov's April 26-27 data showing Reform at 26% ahead of Conservatives (19%) and Labour (18%), reflect voter shifts in northern boroughs and rural areas amid dissatisfaction with Labour's incumbency after defending over half of contested seats from 2022 cycles. Greens trail at 15% with urban gains, while projections forecast Reform netting over 1,300 seats versus Labour's 1,850 losses. Late scandals, tactical voting, or turnout swings in Reform heartlands could challenge this lead before resolution via official council results.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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