Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, with record turnout delivering a landslide defeat to Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and prompting Orbán's immediate concession after 16 years in power, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on Magyar's appointment as next prime minister. This commanding position reflects Tisza's dominance in the 199-seat National Assembly, enabling swift government formation without coalition negotiations. Recent developments, including Orbán relinquishing his parliamentary seat and offering—but being rejected on—Fidesz party leadership resignation, further solidify the transition. Magyar's swearing-in is scheduled for May 9, barring extraordinary scenarios like legal challenges, health issues, or late-breaking scandals that could disrupt presidential appointment.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, with record turnout delivering a landslide defeat to Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and prompting Orbán's immediate concession after 16 years in power, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on Magyar's appointment as next prime minister. This commanding position reflects Tisza's dominance in the 199-seat National Assembly, enabling swift government formation without coalition negotiations. Recent developments, including Orbán relinquishing his parliamentary seat and offering—but being rejected on—Fidesz party leadership resignation, further solidify the transition. Magyar's swearing-in is scheduled for May 9, barring extraordinary scenarios like legal challenges, health issues, or late-breaking scandals that could disrupt presidential appointment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 30 2026
Opposition leader Péter Magyar prepares to convene new parliament in early May, confirming transition of power
(Transition solidifies market outcome)
Apr 28 2026
Viktor Orbán offers resignation as leader of Fidesz party, signaling potential leadership change within his political faction
(Orbán's offer to resign underscores his diminished political standing)
Apr 26 2026
Reports emerge of Orbán associates moving wealth out of Hungary following election defeat, indicating political and financial uncertainty
(This reflects fallout from defeat but no
Apr 22 2026
| Magyar announces his first cabinet, including Hungary’s first blind minister, demonstrating rapid government formation |
Péter Magyar rises to 100%1%
| Magyar announces his first cabinet, including Hungary’s first blind minister, demonstrating rapid government formation |
Apr 20 2026
| Prime Minister Peter Magyar signals he will arrest Israeli PM Netanyahu under ICC obligations, marking a sharp foreign‑policy shift |
Péter Magyar rises to 100%1%
| Prime Minister Peter Magyar signals he will arrest Israeli PM Netanyahu under ICC obligations, marking a sharp foreign‑policy shift |
Apr 20 2026
After the April 12 landslide victory, Péter Magyar announces his cabinet, naming István Kapitány as minister of economy and energy – confirming he will not be prime minister and
István Kapitány dips to 0%1%
After the April 12 landslide victory, Péter Magyar announces his cabinet, naming István Kapitány as minister of economy and energy – confirming he will not be prime minister and sending the market
Apr 20 2026
Magyar announces first ministers in his new government, signaling the start of governance and further cementing his position as next prime minister
Magyar announces first ministers in his new government, signaling the start of governance and further cementing his position as next prime minister
Apr 15 2026
Orbán announces he will not take his seat in parliament and will focus on rebuilding the Fidesz party after election defeat
(Orbán steps back from parliamentary role, confirming no immediate return as PM)
Apr 15 2026
Magyar meets President Tamás Sulyok, who assures him nomination as prime minister and schedules parliamentary session for early May, confirming formal transition steps
Magyar meets President Tamás Sulyok, who assures him nomination as prime minister and schedules parliamentary session for early May, confirming formal transition steps
Apr 14 2026
| Prime‑minister‑elect Peter Magyar declares an end to Hungarian taxpayer funding of CPAC, calling the previous practice a “crime” |
Péter Magyar rises to 100%1%
| Prime‑minister‑elect Peter Magyar declares an end to Hungarian taxpayer funding of CPAC, calling the previous practice a “crime” |
Apr 13 2026
| Magyar announces he will relocate the prime‑minister’s office from the Carmelite Palace to a ministry building, signalling a break with Orbán’s legacy |
Péter Magyar rises to 100%1%
| Magyar announces he will relocate the prime‑minister’s office from the Carmelite Palace to a ministry building, signalling a break with Orbán’s legacy |
Apr 13 2026
| World leaders (e.g., India’s PM Modi, Spain’s Sánchez) congratulate Magyar, reinforcing his legitimacy as the incoming prime minister |
Péter Magyar rises to 100%1%
| World leaders (e.g., India’s PM Modi, Spain’s Sánchez) congratulate Magyar, reinforcing his legitimacy as the incoming prime minister |
Apr 13 2026
Viktor Orbán officially concedes defeat and calls Péter Magyar to congratulate him on the election victory
(Confirmation of Orbán's loss solidifies market resolution)
Apr 13 2026
Magyar holds a press conference as prime minister-elect, outlining plans to restore EU relations and tackle corruption, solidifying market confidence
Péter Magyar dips to 99%1%
Magyar holds a press conference as prime minister-elect, outlining plans to restore EU relations and tackle corruption, solidifying market confidence
Apr 13 2026
| Magyar calls on the president to convene parliament so he can take office by 5 May, underscoring an imminent transition |
Péter Magyar rises to 100%1%
| Magyar calls on the president to convene parliament so he can take office by 5 May, underscoring an imminent transition |
Apr 12 2026
| Peter Magyar’s Tisza Party wins a landslide 138‑seat majority in the parliamentary election, defeating Viktor Orbán |
Péter Magyar surges to 99%29%
| Peter Magyar’s Tisza Party wins a landslide 138‑seat majority in the parliamentary election, defeating Viktor Orbán |
Apr 12 2026
Hungarian parliamentary election results in a landslide victory for opposition leader Péter Magyar, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule
Viktor Orbán plunges to 0%35%
(Orbán concedes defeat, marking a decisive market drop to 0%)
Apr 12 2026
Péter Magyar wins a historic landslide victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year tenure as prime minister
Péter Magyar surges to 100%29%
Péter Magyar wins a historic landslide victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year tenure as prime minister
Mar 31 2026
A Pravda‑Hungary article reports alleged links between opposition figure István Kapitány and the Epstein network, briefly reviving speculation about his political standing
István Kapitány rises to 1%1%
A Pravda‑Hungary article reports alleged links between opposition figure István Kapitány and the Epstein network, briefly reviving speculation about his political standing
Feb 23 2026
Hungarian Parliament votes in favor of ban on Pride parades, reflecting Orbán's conservative policies amid growing domestic opposition
Viktor Orbán dips to 36%4%
(This controversial policy may have contributed to declining support)
Feb 15 2026
Magyar delivers a significant speech at the TISZA party congress in Budapest, reinforcing his leadership and policy platform ahead of elections
Péter Magyar jumps to 63%6%
Magyar delivers a significant speech at the TISZA party congress in Budapest, reinforcing his leadership and policy platform ahead of elections
Feb 3 2026
Opposition Tisza party unveils former Shell executive István Kapitány as its head of economic development and energy, signalling a technocratic boost to its election prospects
István Kapitány rises to 5%4%
Opposition Tisza party unveils former Shell executive István Kapitány as its head of economic development and energy, signalling a technocratic boost to its election prospects
Nov 6 2025
Market reacts positively to Magyar's growing campaign visibility and opposition consolidation, pushing
Péter Magyar jumps to 60%5%
Market reacts positively to Magyar's growing campaign visibility and opposition consolidation, pushing
Oct 15 2025
Orbán announces preparations for 2025 Russia–United States summit in Hungary after call with Donald Trump, signaling continued international engagement
(This event shows Orbán's active role internationally but no major
Sep 7 2025
Magyar organizes ninth major event in Kötcse, coinciding with Orbán's annual speech, highlighting his rising profile against the incumbent
Magyar organizes ninth major event in Kötcse, coinciding with Orbán's annual speech, highlighting his rising profile against the incumbent
Aug 20 2025
Magyar holds major demonstration "In the Footsteps of Saint Stephen" in Pannonhalma, announcing a new ten-point program for the political season, signaling campaign momentum
Péter Magyar rises to 57%3%
Magyar holds major demonstration "In the Footsteps of Saint Stephen" in Pannonhalma, announcing a new ten-point program for the political season, signaling campaign momentum
Aug 13 2025
| Russian SVR accuses EU of targeting Hungary;
Péter Magyar rises to 56%1%
Magyar publicly rebuffs Russian interference, boosting his anti‑foreign‑influence image |
Jul 25 2025
Viktor Orbán's support remains steady amid ongoing political tensions in Hungary
(No specific event found for this date;
Oct 8 2024
| Tisza Party wins 7 seats in the 2024 European Parliament election, propelling Peter Magyar into the EU spotlight |
Péter Magyar jumps to 55%5%
| Tisza Party wins 7 seats in the 2024 European Parliament election, propelling Peter Magyar into the EU spotlight |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, with record turnout delivering a landslide defeat to Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and prompting Orbán's immediate concession after 16 years in power, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on Magyar's appointment as next prime minister. This commanding position reflects Tisza's dominance in the 199-seat National Assembly, enabling swift government formation without coalition negotiations. Recent developments, including Orbán relinquishing his parliamentary seat and offering—but being rejected on—Fidesz party leadership resignation, further solidify the transition. Magyar's swearing-in is scheduled for May 9, barring extraordinary scenarios like legal challenges, health issues, or late-breaking scandals that could disrupt presidential appointment.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, with record turnout delivering a landslide defeat to Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and prompting Orbán's immediate concession after 16 years in power, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on Magyar's appointment as next prime minister. This commanding position reflects Tisza's dominance in the 199-seat National Assembly, enabling swift government formation without coalition negotiations. Recent developments, including Orbán relinquishing his parliamentary seat and offering—but being rejected on—Fidesz party leadership resignation, further solidify the transition. Magyar's swearing-in is scheduled for May 9, barring extraordinary scenarios like legal challenges, health issues, or late-breaking scandals that could disrupt presidential appointment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 30 2026
Opposition leader Péter Magyar prepares to convene new parliament in early May, confirming transition of power
(Transition solidifies market outcome)
Apr 28 2026
Viktor Orbán offers resignation as leader of Fidesz party, signaling potential leadership change within his political faction
(Orbán's offer to resign underscores his diminished political standing)
Apr 26 2026
Reports emerge of Orbán associates moving wealth out of Hungary following election defeat, indicating political and financial uncertainty
(This reflects fallout from defeat but no
Apr 22 2026
| Magyar announces his first cabinet, including Hungary’s first blind minister, demonstrating rapid government formation |
Péter Magyar rises to 100%1%
| Magyar announces his first cabinet, including Hungary’s first blind minister, demonstrating rapid government formation |
Apr 20 2026
| Prime Minister Peter Magyar signals he will arrest Israeli PM Netanyahu under ICC obligations, marking a sharp foreign‑policy shift |
Péter Magyar rises to 100%1%
| Prime Minister Peter Magyar signals he will arrest Israeli PM Netanyahu under ICC obligations, marking a sharp foreign‑policy shift |
Apr 20 2026
After the April 12 landslide victory, Péter Magyar announces his cabinet, naming István Kapitány as minister of economy and energy – confirming he will not be prime minister and
István Kapitány dips to 0%1%
After the April 12 landslide victory, Péter Magyar announces his cabinet, naming István Kapitány as minister of economy and energy – confirming he will not be prime minister and sending the market
Apr 20 2026
Magyar announces first ministers in his new government, signaling the start of governance and further cementing his position as next prime minister
Magyar announces first ministers in his new government, signaling the start of governance and further cementing his position as next prime minister
Apr 15 2026
Orbán announces he will not take his seat in parliament and will focus on rebuilding the Fidesz party after election defeat
(Orbán steps back from parliamentary role, confirming no immediate return as PM)
Apr 15 2026
Magyar meets President Tamás Sulyok, who assures him nomination as prime minister and schedules parliamentary session for early May, confirming formal transition steps
Magyar meets President Tamás Sulyok, who assures him nomination as prime minister and schedules parliamentary session for early May, confirming formal transition steps
Apr 14 2026
| Prime‑minister‑elect Peter Magyar declares an end to Hungarian taxpayer funding of CPAC, calling the previous practice a “crime” |
Péter Magyar rises to 100%1%
| Prime‑minister‑elect Peter Magyar declares an end to Hungarian taxpayer funding of CPAC, calling the previous practice a “crime” |
Apr 13 2026
| Magyar announces he will relocate the prime‑minister’s office from the Carmelite Palace to a ministry building, signalling a break with Orbán’s legacy |
Péter Magyar rises to 100%1%
| Magyar announces he will relocate the prime‑minister’s office from the Carmelite Palace to a ministry building, signalling a break with Orbán’s legacy |
Apr 13 2026
| World leaders (e.g., India’s PM Modi, Spain’s Sánchez) congratulate Magyar, reinforcing his legitimacy as the incoming prime minister |
Péter Magyar rises to 100%1%
| World leaders (e.g., India’s PM Modi, Spain’s Sánchez) congratulate Magyar, reinforcing his legitimacy as the incoming prime minister |
Apr 13 2026
Viktor Orbán officially concedes defeat and calls Péter Magyar to congratulate him on the election victory
(Confirmation of Orbán's loss solidifies market resolution)
Apr 13 2026
Magyar holds a press conference as prime minister-elect, outlining plans to restore EU relations and tackle corruption, solidifying market confidence
Péter Magyar dips to 99%1%
Magyar holds a press conference as prime minister-elect, outlining plans to restore EU relations and tackle corruption, solidifying market confidence
Apr 13 2026
| Magyar calls on the president to convene parliament so he can take office by 5 May, underscoring an imminent transition |
Péter Magyar rises to 100%1%
| Magyar calls on the president to convene parliament so he can take office by 5 May, underscoring an imminent transition |
Apr 12 2026
| Peter Magyar’s Tisza Party wins a landslide 138‑seat majority in the parliamentary election, defeating Viktor Orbán |
Péter Magyar surges to 99%29%
| Peter Magyar’s Tisza Party wins a landslide 138‑seat majority in the parliamentary election, defeating Viktor Orbán |
Apr 12 2026
Hungarian parliamentary election results in a landslide victory for opposition leader Péter Magyar, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule
Viktor Orbán plunges to 0%35%
(Orbán concedes defeat, marking a decisive market drop to 0%)
Apr 12 2026
Péter Magyar wins a historic landslide victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year tenure as prime minister
Péter Magyar surges to 100%29%
Péter Magyar wins a historic landslide victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year tenure as prime minister
Mar 31 2026
A Pravda‑Hungary article reports alleged links between opposition figure István Kapitány and the Epstein network, briefly reviving speculation about his political standing
István Kapitány rises to 1%1%
A Pravda‑Hungary article reports alleged links between opposition figure István Kapitány and the Epstein network, briefly reviving speculation about his political standing
Feb 23 2026
Hungarian Parliament votes in favor of ban on Pride parades, reflecting Orbán's conservative policies amid growing domestic opposition
Viktor Orbán dips to 36%4%
(This controversial policy may have contributed to declining support)
Feb 15 2026
Magyar delivers a significant speech at the TISZA party congress in Budapest, reinforcing his leadership and policy platform ahead of elections
Péter Magyar jumps to 63%6%
Magyar delivers a significant speech at the TISZA party congress in Budapest, reinforcing his leadership and policy platform ahead of elections
Feb 3 2026
Opposition Tisza party unveils former Shell executive István Kapitány as its head of economic development and energy, signalling a technocratic boost to its election prospects
István Kapitány rises to 5%4%
Opposition Tisza party unveils former Shell executive István Kapitány as its head of economic development and energy, signalling a technocratic boost to its election prospects
Nov 6 2025
Market reacts positively to Magyar's growing campaign visibility and opposition consolidation, pushing
Péter Magyar jumps to 60%5%
Market reacts positively to Magyar's growing campaign visibility and opposition consolidation, pushing
Oct 15 2025
Orbán announces preparations for 2025 Russia–United States summit in Hungary after call with Donald Trump, signaling continued international engagement
(This event shows Orbán's active role internationally but no major
Sep 7 2025
Magyar organizes ninth major event in Kötcse, coinciding with Orbán's annual speech, highlighting his rising profile against the incumbent
Magyar organizes ninth major event in Kötcse, coinciding with Orbán's annual speech, highlighting his rising profile against the incumbent
Aug 20 2025
Magyar holds major demonstration "In the Footsteps of Saint Stephen" in Pannonhalma, announcing a new ten-point program for the political season, signaling campaign momentum
Péter Magyar rises to 57%3%
Magyar holds major demonstration "In the Footsteps of Saint Stephen" in Pannonhalma, announcing a new ten-point program for the political season, signaling campaign momentum
Aug 13 2025
| Russian SVR accuses EU of targeting Hungary;
Péter Magyar rises to 56%1%
Magyar publicly rebuffs Russian interference, boosting his anti‑foreign‑influence image |
Jul 25 2025
Viktor Orbán's support remains steady amid ongoing political tensions in Hungary
(No specific event found for this date;
Oct 8 2024
| Tisza Party wins 7 seats in the 2024 European Parliament election, propelling Peter Magyar into the EU spotlight |
Péter Magyar jumps to 55%5%
| Tisza Party wins 7 seats in the 2024 European Parliament election, propelling Peter Magyar into the EU spotlight |
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Péter Magyar" con 99%, seguido de "Viktor Orbán" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" ha generado $94.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 24, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" es "Péter Magyar" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Viktor Orbán" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $94.3 million operados en “Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 99¢ para "Péter Magyar" en el mercado "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 99% de que "Péter Magyar" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 99¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 1¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
La fecha de finalización programada del mercado "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" ha pasado, pero el mercado aún no ha sido resuelto oficialmente. La fecha de finalización indica cuándo se espera que el evento subyacente ocurra o sea conocible. El mercado permanece abierto para operar hasta que el resultado sea formalmente resuelto. Consulta el estado de resolución y la sección "Reglas" en esta página para actualizaciones.
El mercado "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría" tiene una comunidad activa de 2,109 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "Próximo Primer Ministro de Hungría". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes