Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows National and Labour trading narrow leads near 30% each, leaving room for minor parties to contest third place under MMP rules. NZ First’s steady 7–12% support as a coalition partner, combined with its established voter base on cost-of-living and immigration issues, underpins trader consensus for it finishing third most often. The Greens’ consistent 10–14% share among progressive voters keeps them a close second in market pricing. Labour’s stronger recent surveys reduce its third-place probability, while ACT, Te Pāti Māori and smaller parties remain further back. The May 2026 Budget and ongoing economic concerns have produced little movement in these relative standings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 59%
Green Party 45%
Labour Party 7.9%
National Party 6.2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 nov 2026
New Zealand First Party
59%
Green Party
37%
Labour Party
18%
National Party
6%
ACT New Zealand
5%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
New Zealand First Party 59%
Green Party 45%
Labour Party 7.9%
National Party 6.2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 nov 2026
New Zealand First Party
$278 Vol.
59%
Green Party
$363 Vol.
37%
Labour Party
$432 Vol.
18%
National Party
$284 Vol.
6%
ACT New Zealand
$361 Vol.
5%
Te Pāti Māori
$246 Vol.
1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows National and Labour trading narrow leads near 30% each, leaving room for minor parties to contest third place under MMP rules. NZ First’s steady 7–12% support as a coalition partner, combined with its established voter base on cost-of-living and immigration issues, underpins trader consensus for it finishing third most often. The Greens’ consistent 10–14% share among progressive voters keeps them a close second in market pricing. Labour’s stronger recent surveys reduce its third-place probability, while ACT, Te Pāti Māori and smaller parties remain further back. The May 2026 Budget and ongoing economic concerns have produced little movement in these relative standings.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volumen
$1,964Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows National and Labour trading narrow leads near 30% each, leaving room for minor parties to contest third place under MMP rules. NZ First’s steady 7–12% support as a coalition partner, combined with its established voter base on cost-of-living and immigration issues, underpins trader consensus for it finishing third most often. The Greens’ consistent 10–14% share among progressive voters keeps them a close second in market pricing. Labour’s stronger recent surveys reduce its third-place probability, while ACT, Te Pāti Māori and smaller parties remain further back. The May 2026 Budget and ongoing economic concerns have produced little movement in these relative standings.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volumen
$1,964Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows National and Labour trading narrow leads near 30% each, leaving room for minor parties to contest third place under MMP rules. NZ First’s steady 7–12% support as a coalition partner, combined with its established voter base on cost-of-living and immigration issues, underpins trader consensus for it finishing third most often. The Greens’ consistent 10–14% share among progressive voters keeps them a close second in market pricing. Labour’s stronger recent surveys reduce its third-place probability, while ACT, Te Pāti Māori and smaller parties remain further back. The May 2026 Budget and ongoing economic concerns have produced little movement in these relative standings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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