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Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12
Elecciones·Trump

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12

Micah Lasher 45%

Alex Bores 34%

Jack Schlossberg 18%

Keith Powers 1.4%

Polymarket

$348,028 Vol.

Micah Lasher 45%

Alex Bores 34%

Jack Schlossberg 18%

Keith Powers 1.4%

Polymarket

$348,028 Vol.

Micah Lasher

$12,644 Vol.

45%

Alex Bores

$7,404 Vol.

34%

Jack Schlossberg

$10,538 Vol.

18%

Keith Powers

$5,754 Vol.

1%

Liam Elkind

$3,985 Vol.

1%

Lina Khan

$40,912 Vol.

<1%

Brad Hoylman-Sigal

$7,046 Vol.

<1%

Liz Krueger

$57,168 Vol.

<1%

Erik Bottcher

$4,154 Vol.

<1%

Carolyn Maloney

$4,412 Vol.

<1%

Gale Brewer

$3,859 Vol.

<1%

Brad Lander

$80,516 Vol.

<1%

Cameron Kasky

$4,797 Vol.

<1%

Julie Menin

$24,989 Vol.

<1%

Chelsea Clinton

$9,810 Vol.

<1%

Scott Stringer

$58,390 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Cuomo

$3,681 Vol.

<1%

Cynthia Nixon

$4,304 Vol.

<1%

George Conway

$3,664 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the crowded Democratic primary for New York's 12th Congressional District open seat following Rep. Jerry Nadler's retirement, trader consensus favors Assemblyman Micah Lasher at 44.5% implied probability, driven by high-profile endorsements from Nadler himself, Gov. Kathy Hochul on April 13, and former Mayor Michael Bloomberg's pledged multimillion-dollar super PAC support, bolstering his fundraising and establishment backing in a fragmented field. Assemblyman Alex Bores holds 34%, lifted by his campaign's April 17 internal poll showing competitiveness amid AI industry divides, while Jack Schlossberg's 20.5% reflects Kennedy family name recognition and prior polls despite recent Working Families Party reluctance. With the June 23 primary approaching, low-turnout dynamics and undecided voters could shift odds amid ongoing forums and potential consolidation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$348,028
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the crowded Democratic primary for New York's 12th Congressional District open seat following Rep. Jerry Nadler's retirement, trader consensus favors Assemblyman Micah Lasher at 44.5% implied probability, driven by high-profile endorsements from Nadler himself, Gov. Kathy Hochul on April 13, and former Mayor Michael Bloomberg's pledged multimillion-dollar super PAC support, bolstering his fundraising and establishment backing in a fragmented field. Assemblyman Alex Bores holds 34%, lifted by his campaign's April 17 internal poll showing competitiveness amid AI industry divides, while Jack Schlossberg's 20.5% reflects Kennedy family name recognition and prior polls despite recent Working Families Party reluctance. With the June 23 primary approaching, low-turnout dynamics and undecided voters could shift odds amid ongoing forums and potential consolidation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$348,028
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 19 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Micah Lasher" con 45%, seguido de "Alex Bores" con 34%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" ha generado $348K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 21, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12", explora los 19 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" es "Micah Lasher" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alex Bores" con 34%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.