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Elecciones·Trump

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12
Elecciones·Trump

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12

Micah Lasher 45%

Alex Bores 32%

Jack Schlossberg 21%

Keith Powers 1.4%

Polymarket

$348,028 Vol.

Micah Lasher 45%

Alex Bores 32%

Jack Schlossberg 21%

Keith Powers 1.4%

Polymarket

$348,028 Vol.

Micah Lasher

$12,644 Vol.

45%

Alex Bores

$7,404 Vol.

32%

Jack Schlossberg

$10,538 Vol.

21%

Keith Powers

$5,754 Vol.

1%

Liam Elkind

$3,985 Vol.

1%

Lina Khan

$40,912 Vol.

<1%

Brad Hoylman-Sigal

$7,046 Vol.

<1%

Liz Krueger

$57,168 Vol.

<1%

Erik Bottcher

$4,154 Vol.

<1%

Carolyn Maloney

$4,412 Vol.

<1%

Gale Brewer

$3,859 Vol.

<1%

Brad Lander

$80,516 Vol.

<1%

Cameron Kasky

$4,797 Vol.

<1%

Julie Menin

$24,989 Vol.

<1%

Chelsea Clinton

$9,810 Vol.

<1%

Scott Stringer

$58,390 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Cuomo

$3,681 Vol.

<1%

Cynthia Nixon

$4,304 Vol.

<1%

George Conway

$3,664 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open Democratic primary for New York's 12th Congressional District to replace retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler, trader consensus favors Assemblyman Micah Lasher at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting Gov. Kathy Hochul's April 13 endorsement—her first in the race—along with earlier backing from Michael Bloomberg and strong fundraising, including super PAC support. Assemblyman Alex Bores holds 32.5% on momentum from his campaign's mid-April poll showing a competitive position in the fragmented field, while Jack Schlossberg's 21.0% stems from Kennedy family name recognition and social media buzz highlighted in recent West Side interviews. Candidate forums at 92NY on April 15 and ACS last week underscored policy divides on housing and Trump-era issues, with the June 23 primary looming as a test of endorsements, turnout, and East-West Manhattan divides.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$348,028
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open Democratic primary for New York's 12th Congressional District to replace retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler, trader consensus favors Assemblyman Micah Lasher at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting Gov. Kathy Hochul's April 13 endorsement—her first in the race—along with earlier backing from Michael Bloomberg and strong fundraising, including super PAC support. Assemblyman Alex Bores holds 32.5% on momentum from his campaign's mid-April poll showing a competitive position in the fragmented field, while Jack Schlossberg's 21.0% stems from Kennedy family name recognition and social media buzz highlighted in recent West Side interviews. Candidate forums at 92NY on April 15 and ACS last week underscored policy divides on housing and Trump-era issues, with the June 23 primary looming as a test of endorsements, turnout, and East-West Manhattan divides.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$348,028
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 19 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Micah Lasher" con 45%, seguido de "Alex Bores" con 32%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" ha generado $348K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 21, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12", explora los 19 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" es "Micah Lasher" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alex Bores" con 32%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.