Micah Lasher holds a clear lead in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 12th Congressional District, vacated by retiring Representative Jerry Nadler, who endorsed Lasher early. Recent Siena/AARP polling among voters 50 and older—historically the dominant turnout bloc—shows Lasher at 32 percent to Alex Bores’s 21 percent, with roughly one-fifth undecided. Lasher benefits from establishment backing and Bloomberg-aligned super PAC spending, while Bores draws support from technology and cryptocurrency interests amid attacks over outside money during the June 9 debate. Other candidates, including Jack Schlossberg, remain in single digits. With early voting underway and the race tightening among informed voters, the eight-day window favors Lasher’s organizational edge and polling consistency in this Manhattan-based contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12
Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12
Micah Lasher 64%
Alex Bores 37%
Jack Schlossberg 1.0%
George Conway <1%
$397,656 Vol.
$397,656 Vol.
Micah Lasher
64%
Alex Bores
37%
Jack Schlossberg
1%
George Conway
<1%
Erik Bottcher
<1%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
<1%
Keith Powers
<1%
Gale Brewer
<1%
Brad Lander
<1%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Lina Khan
<1%
Julie Menin
<1%
Chelsea Clinton
<1%
Liam Elkind
<1%
Scott Stringer
<1%
Liz Krueger
<1%
Carolyn Maloney
<1%
Andrew Cuomo
<1%
Cynthia Nixon
<1%
Micah Lasher 64%
Alex Bores 37%
Jack Schlossberg 1.0%
George Conway <1%
$397,656 Vol.
$397,656 Vol.
Micah Lasher
64%
Alex Bores
37%
Jack Schlossberg
1%
George Conway
<1%
Erik Bottcher
<1%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
<1%
Keith Powers
<1%
Gale Brewer
<1%
Brad Lander
<1%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Lina Khan
<1%
Julie Menin
<1%
Chelsea Clinton
<1%
Liam Elkind
<1%
Scott Stringer
<1%
Liz Krueger
<1%
Carolyn Maloney
<1%
Andrew Cuomo
<1%
Cynthia Nixon
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Micah Lasher holds a clear lead in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 12th Congressional District, vacated by retiring Representative Jerry Nadler, who endorsed Lasher early. Recent Siena/AARP polling among voters 50 and older—historically the dominant turnout bloc—shows Lasher at 32 percent to Alex Bores’s 21 percent, with roughly one-fifth undecided. Lasher benefits from establishment backing and Bloomberg-aligned super PAC spending, while Bores draws support from technology and cryptocurrency interests amid attacks over outside money during the June 9 debate. Other candidates, including Jack Schlossberg, remain in single digits. With early voting underway and the race tightening among informed voters, the eight-day window favors Lasher’s organizational edge and polling consistency in this Manhattan-based contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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