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Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12
Elecciones·Trump

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12

Micah Lasher 64%

Alex Bores 37%

Jack Schlossberg 1.0%

George Conway <1%

Polymarket

$393,776 Vol.

Micah Lasher 64%

Alex Bores 37%

Jack Schlossberg 1.0%

George Conway <1%

Polymarket

$393,776 Vol.

Micah Lasher

$21,183 Vol.

64%

Alex Bores

$11,782 Vol.

37%

Jack Schlossberg

$14,665 Vol.

1%

George Conway

$6,265 Vol.

<1%

Erik Bottcher

$5,950 Vol.

<1%

Carolyn Maloney

$6,161 Vol.

<1%

Brad Hoylman-Sigal

$8,804 Vol.

<1%

Keith Powers

$7,016 Vol.

<1%

Gale Brewer

$5,630 Vol.

<1%

Brad Lander

$82,722 Vol.

<1%

Cameron Kasky

$6,991 Vol.

<1%

Lina Khan

$42,260 Vol.

<1%

Julie Menin

$26,899 Vol.

<1%

Chelsea Clinton

$11,773 Vol.

<1%

Liam Elkind

$5,754 Vol.

<1%

Scott Stringer

$60,519 Vol.

<1%

Liz Krueger

$59,640 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Cuomo

$4,821 Vol.

<1%

Cynthia Nixon

$4,941 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Micah Lasher leads the NY-12 Democratic primary at 63.5% implied probability ahead of the June 23 vote, reflecting his edge in recent Siena polling among older voters and substantial outside support including $10 million from Michael Bloomberg-linked groups. Alex Bores trails at 36.5% as the main challenger, bolstered by his Assembly record on AI regulation and millions in super PAC spending from tech interests. A June 9 debate highlighted contrasts on outside money, experience, and policy priorities among the five leading candidates, with heavy expenditures making this one of the costliest House primaries. Lower-probability contenders such as Jack Schlossberg and George Conway remain marginal due to limited polling traction and fundraising gaps, while the race's undecided share and last-week dynamics keep both frontrunners' odds sensitive to final voter turnout in the Manhattan-based district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$393,776
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Micah Lasher leads the NY-12 Democratic primary at 63.5% implied probability ahead of the June 23 vote, reflecting his edge in recent Siena polling among older voters and substantial outside support including $10 million from Michael Bloomberg-linked groups. Alex Bores trails at 36.5% as the main challenger, bolstered by his Assembly record on AI regulation and millions in super PAC spending from tech interests. A June 9 debate highlighted contrasts on outside money, experience, and policy priorities among the five leading candidates, with heavy expenditures making this one of the costliest House primaries. Lower-probability contenders such as Jack Schlossberg and George Conway remain marginal due to limited polling traction and fundraising gaps, while the race's undecided share and last-week dynamics keep both frontrunners' odds sensitive to final voter turnout in the Manhattan-based district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$393,776
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 19 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Micah Lasher" con 64%, seguido de "Alex Bores" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 64¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 64% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" ha generado $393.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 21, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12", explora los 19 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" es "Micah Lasher" con 64%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 64% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alex Bores" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-12" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.