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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas MN-02

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas MN-02
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas MN-02

Matt Little 68%

Kaela Berg 13.2%

Matt Klein 9%

Polymarket

$31,153 Vol.

Matt Little 68%

Kaela Berg 13.2%

Matt Klein 9%

Polymarket

$31,153 Vol.

Matt Little

$21,154 Vol.

68%

Kaela Berg

$2,570 Vol.

13%

Matt Klein

$7,429 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District open Democratic primary on August 11, trader consensus favors former state Sen. Matt Little at 68% implied probability, driven by his February DFL precinct caucus straw poll win (43%) and recent endorsements including the DFL Rural Caucus on April 29, positioning him to potentially secure the party's nod at the May 9 district convention requiring 60% of 186 delegates. State Sen. Matt Klein's odds slipped to 9% following his April 22 apology for a $50 Kalshi prediction market bet on himself—resulting in a five-year suspension and fine—damaging his viability amid delegate hunts. Kaela Berg trails at 12% despite ongoing efforts, with no candidate yet clinching endorsement in this competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$31,153
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District open Democratic primary on August 11, trader consensus favors former state Sen. Matt Little at 68% implied probability, driven by his February DFL precinct caucus straw poll win (43%) and recent endorsements including the DFL Rural Caucus on April 29, positioning him to potentially secure the party's nod at the May 9 district convention requiring 60% of 186 delegates. State Sen. Matt Klein's odds slipped to 9% following his April 22 apology for a $50 Kalshi prediction market bet on himself—resulting in a five-year suspension and fine—damaging his viability amid delegate hunts. Kaela Berg trails at 12% despite ongoing efforts, with no candidate yet clinching endorsement in this competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$31,153
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas MN-02" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Matt Little" con 68%, seguido de "Kaela Berg" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 68¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 68% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas MN-02" ha generado $31.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 1, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas MN-02", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas MN-02" es "Matt Little" con 68%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 68% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Kaela Berg" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas MN-02" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.