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icon for ¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?
Política·Primarias

¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?

icon for ¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?
Política·Primarias

¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?

$557,002 Vol.

2 jun 2026
Polymarket

$557,002 Vol.

Polymarket

Steve Hilton

$36,650 Vol.

70%

Tom Steyer

$24,668 Vol.

60%

Xavier Becerra

$7,872 Vol.

54%

Chad Bianco

$19,026 Vol.

14%

Matt Mahan

$14,771 Vol.

11%

Katie Porter

$7,731 Vol.

7%

David Thelen

$949 Vol.

4%

Elaine Culotti

$51 Vol.

4%

Jimmy Parker

$0 Vol.

3%

Sharifah Hardie

$0 Vol.

3%

Ramsey Robinson

$3,242 Vol.

3%

Leo Zacky

$1,189 Vol.

3%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$12,098 Vol.

3%

Leonard Jackson

$3,331 Vol.

3%

Kyle Langford

$10,837 Vol.

3%

Nicki Minaj

$3,178 Vol.

3%

Zoltan Istvan

$11,803 Vol.

2%

Ian Calderón

$112,194 Vol.

2%

David Serpa

$4,506 Vol.

2%

Ché Ahn

$17,926 Vol.

2%

Daniel Mercuri

$9,373 Vol.

2%

Dylan Colbert

$13,693 Vol.

2%

Nicholas Thompson

$6,848 Vol.

2%

Butch Ware

$8,287 Vol.

2%

Derek Grasty

$18,287 Vol.

2%

Tony Thurmond

$1,590 Vol.

2%

Sophia Brink

$37,819 Vol.

2%

Carolina Buhler

$8,322 Vol.

1%

Brandon Jones

$36,078 Vol.

1%

Betty Yee

$3,557 Vol.

1%

Ryan Tillman

$1,591 Vol.

1%

Ethan Agarwal

$2,642 Vol.

1%

Raji Rab

$2,702 Vol.

1%

Thunder Parley

$53,444 Vol.

1%

Eric Swalwell

$60,747 Vol.

1%

Javen Allen

$0 Vol.

50%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Steve Hilton at 71% and Tom Steyer at 60% likelihood to advance from California's June 2 top-two primary, with Xavier Becerra close at 51%, reflecting a fragmented Democratic field and strong Republican polling amid voter frustration over economy, crime, and high costs. Recent Emerson College polling from mid-April shows Hilton leading at 17%, Chad Bianco at 14%, and Steyer at 14%, boosted by Democrat Eric Swalwell's April 12 campaign suspension over sexual misconduct allegations, which consolidated some support toward Becerra. The GOP's April convention yielded no endorsement, splitting votes between Hilton and Bianco, while 23% undecided voters heighten uncertainty. Counties begin mailing ballots this week, with final debates potentially shifting dynamics before the nonpartisan jungle primary.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volumen
$557,002
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Steve Hilton at 71% and Tom Steyer at 60% likelihood to advance from California's June 2 top-two primary, with Xavier Becerra close at 51%, reflecting a fragmented Democratic field and strong Republican polling amid voter frustration over economy, crime, and high costs. Recent Emerson College polling from mid-April shows Hilton leading at 17%, Chad Bianco at 14%, and Steyer at 14%, boosted by Democrat Eric Swalwell's April 12 campaign suspension over sexual misconduct allegations, which consolidated some support toward Becerra. The GOP's April convention yielded no endorsement, splitting votes between Hilton and Bianco, while 23% undecided voters heighten uncertainty. Counties begin mailing ballots this week, with final debates potentially shifting dynamics before the nonpartisan jungle primary.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volumen
$557,002
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 36 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Steve Hilton" con 70%, seguido de "Tom Steyer" con 60%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 70¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?" ha generado $557K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 4, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?", explora los 36 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?" es "Steve Hilton" con 70%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Tom Steyer" con 60%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de California?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.