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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Virginia Occidental

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Virginia Occidental
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Virginia Occidental

Shelley Moore Capito 99.3%

Tom Willis 1.3%

Alexander Gaasserud <1%

Polymarket

$28,608 Vol.

Shelley Moore Capito 99.3%

Tom Willis 1.3%

Alexander Gaasserud <1%

Polymarket

$28,608 Vol.

Shelley Moore Capito

$8,415 Vol.

99%

Tom Willis

$14,429 Vol.

1%

Alexander Gaasserud

$5,763 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Incumbent U.S. Senator Shelley Moore Capito's commanding 99.3% implied probability in the West Virginia Republican Senate primary reflects her entrenched advantages as a three-term senator with superior fundraising, name recognition, and party establishment support ahead of the May 12 contest.** State Sen. Tom Willis, a Green Beret veteran challenging from the right, and lesser-known Alex Gaaserud have filed candidacies, with Willis drawing recent conservative endorsements and social media pushes during early voting that began April 29. However, no public polls indicate competitive traction, aligning with historical patterns where incumbents in deep-red states like West Virginia rarely face serious primary threats. Upsets would require a late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unprecedented turnout surge among challenger supporters, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia.

If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$28,608
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Incumbent U.S. Senator Shelley Moore Capito's commanding 99.3% implied probability in the West Virginia Republican Senate primary reflects her entrenched advantages as a three-term senator with superior fundraising, name recognition, and party establishment support ahead of the May 12 contest.** State Sen. Tom Willis, a Green Beret veteran challenging from the right, and lesser-known Alex Gaaserud have filed candidacies, with Willis drawing recent conservative endorsements and social media pushes during early voting that began April 29. However, no public polls indicate competitive traction, aligning with historical patterns where incumbents in deep-red states like West Virginia rarely face serious primary threats. Upsets would require a late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unprecedented turnout surge among challenger supporters, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia.

If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$28,608
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Virginia Occidental" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Shelley Moore Capito" con 99%, seguido de "Tom Willis" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Virginia Occidental" ha generado $28.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 2, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Virginia Occidental", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Virginia Occidental" es "Shelley Moore Capito" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Tom Willis" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Virginia Occidental" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.