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Política·Primarias

UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

icon for UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
Política·Primarias

UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Ben McAdams 72%

Nate Blouin 26%

Brian King 2.6%

Caroline Gleich 2.6%

Polymarket

$26,657 Vol.

Ben McAdams 72%

Nate Blouin 26%

Brian King 2.6%

Caroline Gleich 2.6%

Polymarket

$26,657 Vol.

Ben McAdams

$7,399 Vol.

72%

Nate Blouin

$3,807 Vol.

26%

Brian King

$974 Vol.

3%

Caroline Gleich

$959 Vol.

3%

Luz Escamilla

$5,614 Vol.

1%

Erin Mendenhall

$4,293 Vol.

1%

Kathleen Riebe

$1,421 Vol.

<1%

Kael Weston

$979 Vol.

<1%

Jenny Wilson

$1,211 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his top position in a late-March poll, superior fundraising with over twice Nate Blouin's totals, and name recognition from his 2019-2021 House service. State Sen. Nate Blouin trails at 25.5% amid progressive endorsements but faces backlash from resurfaced edgy social media posts from over a decade ago, potentially alienating moderate voters. Liban Mohamed's April 25 state convention upset via ranked-choice delegate voting has not shifted odds, as traders view the activist-heavy crowd as unrepresentative of the broader primary electorate favoring McAdams' pragmatic record. Kathleen Riebe's April dropout and endorsement further consolidates support behind the frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$26,657
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his top position in a late-March poll, superior fundraising with over twice Nate Blouin's totals, and name recognition from his 2019-2021 House service. State Sen. Nate Blouin trails at 25.5% amid progressive endorsements but faces backlash from resurfaced edgy social media posts from over a decade ago, potentially alienating moderate voters. Liban Mohamed's April 25 state convention upset via ranked-choice delegate voting has not shifted odds, as traders view the activist-heavy crowd as unrepresentative of the broader primary electorate favoring McAdams' pragmatic record. Kathleen Riebe's April dropout and endorsement further consolidates support behind the frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$26,657
Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ben McAdams" con 72%, seguido de "Nate Blouin" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 72¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" ha generado $26.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Ben McAdams" con 72%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Nate Blouin" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "UT-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.