Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D) secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary for Texas's 7th Congressional District, a southwestern Houston seat rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report despite 2025 GOP redistricting efforts that left her base largely intact. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects Fletcher's fundraising edge, proven reelection record since 2018, and the district's urban-suburban demographics favoring Democrats, amplified by a fragmented Republican primary forcing a May 26 runoff between Alexander Hale and Tina Cohen with no clear frontrunner. A Republican upset would require the runoff winner to mount a massive fundraising surge, national midterm tailwinds, or a major Fletcher scandal before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTX-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TX-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$4,536 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$1,983 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D) secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary for Texas's 7th Congressional District, a southwestern Houston seat rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report despite 2025 GOP redistricting efforts that left her base largely intact. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects Fletcher's fundraising edge, proven reelection record since 2018, and the district's urban-suburban demographics favoring Democrats, amplified by a fragmented Republican primary forcing a May 26 runoff between Alexander Hale and Tina Cohen with no clear frontrunner. A Republican upset would require the runoff winner to mount a massive fundraising surge, national midterm tailwinds, or a major Fletcher scandal before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$6,519Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D) secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary for Texas's 7th Congressional District, a southwestern Houston seat rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report despite 2025 GOP redistricting efforts that left her base largely intact. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects Fletcher's fundraising edge, proven reelection record since 2018, and the district's urban-suburban demographics favoring Democrats, amplified by a fragmented Republican primary forcing a May 26 runoff between Alexander Hale and Tina Cohen with no clear frontrunner. A Republican upset would require the runoff winner to mount a massive fundraising surge, national midterm tailwinds, or a major Fletcher scandal before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$6,519Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D) secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary for Texas's 7th Congressional District, a southwestern Houston seat rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report despite 2025 GOP redistricting efforts that left her base largely intact. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects Fletcher's fundraising edge, proven reelection record since 2018, and the district's urban-suburban demographics favoring Democrats, amplified by a fragmented Republican primary forcing a May 26 runoff between Alexander Hale and Tina Cohen with no clear frontrunner. A Republican upset would require the runoff winner to mount a massive fundraising surge, national midterm tailwinds, or a major Fletcher scandal before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes