Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands a 76% implied probability on Polymarket as the frontrunner in Toronto's October 26 municipal election, bolstered by her steady 55% approval rating and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls, including a Liaison Strategies survey from April 17 showing her at 46% to challenger Brad Bradford's 35% among decided voters. Former Mayor John Tory's early March announcement ruling out a comeback has solidified the field, positioning Bradford (15%) as the primary alternative while others like Ana Bailão trail far behind due to limited momentum. With candidate nominations opening today, May 1, fresh entrants could narrow the race, though Chow's incumbency advantage and polling edge sustain trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOlivia Chow 76%
Brad Bradford 15%
Ana Bailão 2.5%
Kevin Clarke 1.1%
$18,579 Vol.
$18,579 Vol.
26 oct 2026
Olivia Chow
76%
Brad Bradford
15%
Ana Bailão
2%
Kevin Clarke
1%
Michael Ford
1%
Anthony Furey
1%
Marco Mendicino
<1%
John Tory
<1%
Olivia Chow 76%
Brad Bradford 15%
Ana Bailão 2.5%
Kevin Clarke 1.1%
$18,579 Vol.
$18,579 Vol.
26 oct 2026
Olivia Chow
$5,089 Vol.
76%
Brad Bradford
$4,686 Vol.
15%
Ana Bailão
$2,577 Vol.
2%
Kevin Clarke
$1,288 Vol.
1%
Michael Ford
$1,654 Vol.
1%
Anthony Furey
$1,115 Vol.
1%
Marco Mendicino
$1,016 Vol.
<1%
John Tory
$1,155 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands a 76% implied probability on Polymarket as the frontrunner in Toronto's October 26 municipal election, bolstered by her steady 55% approval rating and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls, including a Liaison Strategies survey from April 17 showing her at 46% to challenger Brad Bradford's 35% among decided voters. Former Mayor John Tory's early March announcement ruling out a comeback has solidified the field, positioning Bradford (15%) as the primary alternative while others like Ana Bailão trail far behind due to limited momentum. With candidate nominations opening today, May 1, fresh entrants could narrow the race, though Chow's incumbency advantage and polling edge sustain trader consensus.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Volumen
$18,579Fecha de finalización
26 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands a 76% implied probability on Polymarket as the frontrunner in Toronto's October 26 municipal election, bolstered by her steady 55% approval rating and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls, including a Liaison Strategies survey from April 17 showing her at 46% to challenger Brad Bradford's 35% among decided voters. Former Mayor John Tory's early March announcement ruling out a comeback has solidified the field, positioning Bradford (15%) as the primary alternative while others like Ana Bailão trail far behind due to limited momentum. With candidate nominations opening today, May 1, fresh entrants could narrow the race, though Chow's incumbency advantage and polling edge sustain trader consensus.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volumen
$18,579Fecha de finalización
26 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands a 76% implied probability on Polymarket as the frontrunner in Toronto's October 26 municipal election, bolstered by her steady 55% approval rating and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls, including a Liaison Strategies survey from April 17 showing her at 46% to challenger Brad Bradford's 35% among decided voters. Former Mayor John Tory's early March announcement ruling out a comeback has solidified the field, positioning Bradford (15%) as the primary alternative while others like Ana Bailão trail far behind due to limited momentum. With candidate nominations opening today, May 1, fresh entrants could narrow the race, though Chow's incumbency advantage and polling edge sustain trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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